White Horse Title Chances

Did not play, title odds down 0.7 to 1.8%

21 points 8-5-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Average seed
Hatfield Road vs Irish Club	-1.4-0.2+3.4		+0.1+0.1-0.4
Farrier's Arms vs White Horse	-1.5-0.2+3.3		-26.1+8.8+22.8		-0.4+0.1+0.3
Jolly Sailor A vs Queen's Head A	+0.1-0.0*-0.0		-0.3+0.0*+0.0
Colney Heath FC vs New Greens			+2.6+1.7-1.7		+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the White Horse finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promotion		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Relegation	Count

33	6	-	0	-	0	71.4	%	Yes		71	29										No	60,217,601
32	5	-	1	-	0	34.1		Yes		34	66										No	492,721,844
31	4	-	2	-	0	9.8		Yes		10	90										No	1,797,285,114
	5	-	0	-	1	11.4		Yes		11	89										No	167,739,276
30	3	-	3	-	0	1.4		Yes		1	99										No	3,388,939,824
	4	-	1	-	1	1.7		98.8	%	2	97	1									No	1,134,299,890
29	2	-	4	-	0	0.1		97.5		0	97	2	0								No	3,498,101,201
	3	-	2	-	1	0.1		91.7		0	92	8	0								No	2,986,794,715
	4	-	0	-	2	0.1		87.8		0	88	12	0								No	148,296,008
28	2	-	3	-	1	0.0		70.9		0	71	28	1	0							No	3,838,363,730
	1	-	5	-	0	0.0		81.9		0	82	17	1	0							No	1,880,541,074
	3	-	1	-	2	0.0		63.1		0	63	35	2	0							No	720,819,367
27	1	-	4	-	1	0.0		37.8		0	38	51	11	0							No	2,415,018,295
	2	-	2	-	2	0.0		30.6		0	31	56	13	0							No	1,282,528,989
	0	-	6	-	0	No		47.2			47	44	8	0							No	412,545,012
	3	-	0	-	3	0.0		25.4		0	25	60	14	0							No	42,754,809
26	1	-	3	-	2	No		8.2			8	51	38	3							No	996,078,167
	0	-	5	-	1	No		10.9			11	50	36	2							No	596,863,208
	2	-	1	-	3	No		5.9			6	51	40	3							No	135,009,136
25	0	-	4	-	2	No		0.9			1	24	60	15	0						No	286,063,310
	1	-	2	-	3	No		0.6			1	24	60	15	0						No	141,972,167
	2	-	0	-	4	No		0.7			1	26	59	15	0						No	1,717,892
24	0	-	3	-	3	No		0.0			0	6	52	41	1	0					No	49,727,237
	1	-	1	-	4	No		0.0			0	7	52	41	1	0					No	3,553,321
23	0	-	2	-	4	No		0.0			0	1	25	65	9	0					No	1,838,615
	1	-	0	-	5	No		No				1	26	63	10	0					No	24,409
22	0	-	1	-	5	No		No				0	6	59	34	0					No	24,892
21	0	-	0	-	6	No		No					0	25	72	3					No	5,989,589

Total:						1.8	%	74.4	%	2	73	19	6	1	0	0					No	26,485,828,692

Games Above .500

Chance Will Win Championship