Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

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Chance will win titleSuper 8Chance will finish season at seedLeague 1 Shield
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength3/4
Whitehaven00-0-0011.1%62.7%11988667765565557.037.3%1.500Whitehaven RLFC
Hemel00-0-0010.962.711988767765565557.037.31.500Hemel Stags
Workington00-0-0010.962.711988767765565557.037.31.500Workington Town
Coventry00-0-0010.762.711998767765565557.037.31.500Coventry Bears
Keighley00-0-0010.762.711998767765565557.037.31.500Keighley Cougars
Newcastle00-0-008.356.78877667766666667.743.31.500Newcastle Thunder
Barrow00-0-005.452.35667777777777768.147.71.500Barrow Raiders
Hunslet00-0-005.252.35667777777777768.147.71.500Hunslet RLFC
London00-0-005.252.35667777777777778.147.71.500TorontoLondon Skolars
South Wales00-0-005.052.35667777777777768.147.71.500South Wales Ironmen
Toronto00-0-006.250.56666667766677898.349.51.500at LondonToronto Wolfpack
All Golds00-0-003.845.44556676678888898.854.61.500University of Gloucestershire All Golds
Oxford00-0-003.845.44556676678888898.854.61.500Oxford RLFC
North Wales00-0-001.539.513457766810988999.360.51.500North Wales Crusaders
Doncaster00-0-001.439.513457766810988999.360.51.500Doncaster RLFC

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/4
South Wales vs WhitehavenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven4.711.820.3
50.165.581.0
49.934.519.0
8.46.55.0
Hemel11.411.210.2
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Workington11.211.210.6
62.563.263.0
37.536.837.0
Keighley11.211.010.1
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Newcastle8.68.47.9
56.557.157.0
43.542.943.0
Barrow5.7*5.44.8
London5.45.24.8
South Wales8.12.80.7
67.447.330.6
32.652.769.4
6.78.610.3
All Golds4.03.73.3
Oxford vs HemelHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.611.310.2
62.663.262.9
37.436.837.1
Hemel4.711.620.0
50.265.580.9
49.834.519.1
8.46.55.0
Workington11.311.110.4
62.563.263.0
37.536.837.0
Coventry11.310.99.8
62.563.262.9
37.536.837.1
Keighley11.010.910.3
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Newcastle8.78.57.7
56.557.156.9
43.542.943.1
South Wales5.35.14.6
Toronto6.66.35.6
50.450.950.7
49.649.149.3
Oxford6.12.00.5
60.140.024.2
39.960.075.8
7.49.310.9
Workington vs NewcastleHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington16.48.83.2
75.959.343.5
24.140.756.5
5.67.29.1
Newcastle3.08.516.1
43.559.375.9
56.540.724.1
9.17.25.6
Doncaster vs CoventryHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.511.210.4
62.463.363.1
37.636.736.9
Hemel11.511.09.9
62.463.263.0
37.636.837.0
Workington11.611.110.0
62.563.263.0
37.536.837.0
Coventry4.711.519.5
50.165.181.0
49.934.919.0
8.46.55.0
Keighley11.210.810.1
62.463.263.0
37.636.837.0
Newcastle8.88.47.6
56.457.257.0
43.642.843.0
Hunslet5.65.24.7
52.152.652.7
47.947.447.3
South Wales5.45.04.5
52.152.552.7
47.947.547.3
Toronto6.66.25.6
50.351.050.9
49.749.049.1
All Golds4.0*3.83.3
45.245.645.8
54.854.454.2
North Wales1.71.41.2
39.339.340.0
60.760.760.0
Doncaster2.40.10.0
55.533.116.5
44.566.983.5
7.810.111.5
Keighley vs North WalesHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven10.611.511.8
62.963.262.3
37.136.837.7
Hemel10.611.311.3
62.963.262.3
37.136.837.7
Workington10.511.411.6
62.963.262.3
37.136.837.7
Coventry10.511.111.1
62.963.262.3
37.136.837.7
Keighley15.88.93.4
76.258.643.1
23.841.456.9
5.67.29.1
Newcastle7.98.68.9
57.057.256.3
43.042.843.7
Barrow5.15.65.8
52.652.452.0
47.447.648.0
London4.95.45.5
52.652.452.0
47.447.648.0
South Wales4.75.25.4
52.652.452.0
47.447.648.0
Toronto6.06.46.5
50.850.950.1
49.249.149.9
North Wales0.00.13.7
22.840.964.1
77.259.135.9
10.99.37.0
Doncaster1.21.41.6
39.839.139.1
60.260.960.9
London vs TorontoHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Hemel11.111.110.5
62.663.262.9
37.436.837.1
Coventry10.911.010.4
62.563.262.9
37.536.837.1
London8.23.00.8
67.547.330.4
32.552.769.6
6.68.510.3
Toronto2.26.212.1
36.952.670.5
63.147.429.5
9.87.96.3
Hunslet vs All GoldsHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Keighley10.711.010.7
62.763.362.7
37.336.737.3
Hunslet8.33.10.9
67.647.030.3
32.453.069.7
6.68.510.3
All Golds0.83.08.1
30.347.067.6
69.753.032.4
10.38.66.6
Week of 3/12
Barrow vs HemelIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.511.410.4
62.563.163.0
37.536.937.0
Hemel4.611.620.2
50.165.481.0
49.934.619.0
8.46.55.0
Workington11.211.110.5
62.563.263.0
37.536.837.0
Coventry11.310.99.9
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Newcastle8.88.57.6
56.557.157.0
43.542.943.0
Barrow8.63.10.8
67.447.330.5
32.652.769.5
6.68.510.3
South Wales5.4*5.04.5
52.152.452.6
47.947.647.4
Oxford vs WorkingtonHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.411.310.6
62.563.262.9
37.536.837.1
Hemel11.311.010.3
62.563.263.0
37.536.837.0
Workington4.711.720.0
50.265.581.0
49.834.519.0
8.46.55.0
Coventry11.310.99.8
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Keighley11.310.99.9
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Hunslet5.55.34.8
London5.55.24.7
South Wales5.35.14.6
Toronto6.66.35.6
50.450.950.7
49.649.149.3
Oxford6.12.00.5
60.140.024.2
39.960.075.8
7.49.310.9
All Golds vs KeighleyHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.611.310.3
62.663.162.9
37.436.937.1
Hemel11.211.110.5
62.563.262.9
37.536.837.1
Workington11.611.110.0
62.563.262.9
37.536.837.1
Coventry11.011.010.3
62.563.162.9
37.536.937.1
Keighley4.611.419.7
50.265.480.9
49.834.619.1
8.46.55.0
Newcastle8.78.57.7
56.557.156.9
43.542.943.1
Barrow5.75.44.9
London5.55.14.6
South Wales5.45.04.5
All Golds6.12.00.5
60.140.124.3
39.959.975.7
7.49.310.9
Coventry vs BarrowHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Hemel10.611.311.3
62.863.162.5
37.236.937.5
Workington10.611.411.4
62.863.162.5
37.236.937.5
Coventry16.08.63.1
76.059.043.3
24.041.056.7
5.67.29.1
Newcastle8.08.78.7
56.857.156.5
43.242.943.5
Barrow1.24.611.5
37.554.674.0
62.545.426.0
9.67.85.9
Hemel vs HunsletHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven10.711.511.5
62.863.162.5
37.236.937.5
Hemel16.28.83.2
76.159.043.3
23.941.056.7
5.67.29.1
Coventry10.611.210.9
62.863.062.5
37.237.037.5
Hunslet1.24.411.3
37.654.673.9
62.445.426.1
9.67.86.0
Whitehaven vs TorontoHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven16.49.03.3
76.059.443.4
24.040.656.6
5.67.29.1
Keighley10.411.111.2
Toronto2.06.112.4
37.052.870.2
63.047.229.8
9.87.96.3
Newcastle vs LondonHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Newcastle12.56.42.3
70.452.536.8
29.647.563.2
6.37.99.8
London1.24.411.1
37.554.674.0
62.545.426.0
9.67.86.0
North Wales vs DoncasterHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.111.311.0
62.863.462.6
37.236.637.4
Hemel10.911.210.8
62.763.462.6
37.336.637.4
Workington11.011.210.9
62.863.462.6
37.236.637.4
Coventry10.711.010.7
62.863.462.5
37.236.637.5
Keighley10.810.910.6
62.763.562.6
37.336.537.4
7.07.07.1
Newcastle8.48.58.2
*56.757.456.6
*43.342.643.4
7.77.67.7
Toronto50.651.250.4
49.448.849.6
North Wales2.50.10.0
55.932.116.0
44.167.984.0
7.810.111.5
Doncaster0.00.13.5
22.640.364.5
77.459.735.5
10.99.37.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Matt Grande for adding this league.