Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

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Chance will win titleSuper 8Chance will finish season at seedLeague 1 Shield
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength3/4
Workington00-0-008.1%54.6%87777666666666558.039.1%1.500Workington Town
South Wales00-0-008.054.687777666666666558.039.11.500South Wales Ironmen
Barrow00-0-008.054.687777666666666558.039.11.500YorkBarrow Raiders
Whitehaven00-0-008.054.687777666666666558.039.11.500Whitehaven RLFC
Hemel00-0-007.954.687777666666666558.039.11.500Hemel Stags
All Golds00-0-007.854.687777666666666558.039.11.500University of Gloucestershire All Golds
Coventry00-0-007.854.687777666666666558.039.11.500Coventry Bears
Newcastle00-0-007.854.687777666666666558.039.11.500Newcastle Thunder
Keighley00-0-007.854.687777666666666558.039.11.500Keighley Cougars
Oxford00-0-007.854.687777666666666558.039.11.500Oxford RLFC
Hunslet00-0-004.145.245566676677777779.148.61.500Hunslet RLFC
London00-0-003.945.245666676677777779.148.61.500TorontoLondon Skolars
North Wales00-0-003.745.245666676677777779.148.61.500North Wales Crusaders
Toronto00-0-004.844.055566666666777899.249.71.500at LondonToronto Wolfpack
York00-0-003.039.634555666677778899.754.31.500at BarrowYork City Knights
Doncaster00-0-001.434.6134456766798899910.259.61.500Doncaster RLFC

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/4
South Wales vs WhitehavenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
South Wales11.86.22.6
66.350.637.7
27.542.355.8
6.78.29.9
Whitehaven3.58.014.5
43.256.471.3
50.136.823.0
9.37.66.1
Workington vs NewcastleHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington11.96.32.7
66.450.637.7
27.542.355.8
6.78.29.9
Newcastle3.5*7.814.3
43.256.471.3
50.136.823.0
9.37.66.1
Oxford vs HemelHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Hemel3.57.914.3
43.256.471.3
50.136.823.0
9.37.66.1
Oxford11.56.02.5
66.350.637.7
27.642.355.8
6.78.29.9
Hunslet vs All GoldsHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington8.38.27.9
54.555.054.7
South Wales8.28.17.8
54.555.054.7
Barrow8.28.27.7
54.555.054.7
Whitehaven8.28.17.6
54.555.054.7
Hemel8.18.07.5
54.555.054.7
All Golds3.67.814.0
43.156.571.4
50.236.922.9
9.37.66.1
Newcastle8.08.07.5
54.555.054.7
Keighley7.97.97.5
54.555.054.7
Oxford8.07.97.4
54.555.054.7
Hunslet6.32.60.9
57.738.827.4
35.853.166.9
7.79.511.0
Doncaster vs CoventryHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington8.48.27.6
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
South Wales8.38.17.5
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
Barrow8.28.17.7
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
Whitehaven8.28.07.6
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
Hemel8.27.97.4
54.555.254.7
39.238.838.9
All Golds8.07.97.5
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
Coventry3.77.913.9
43.156.571.4
50.237.022.8
9.37.66.1
Newcastle8.17.97.4
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
Keighley8.07.87.4
54.555.154.7
39.238.838.9
Oxford8.07.87.4
54.555.254.7
39.238.838.9
Hunslet4.34.13.8
45.145.645.3
London4.04.03.8
45.245.645.2
North Wales3.9*3.73.4
45.245.645.3
Toronto5.04.94.5
43.944.544.1
49.849.449.5
Doncaster2.40.60.1
47.126.017.0
46.565.378.5
8.910.812.1
Keighley vs North WalesHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
All Golds7.78.07.9
54.755.054.5
Keighley11.46.12.7
66.450.637.6
27.542.455.9
6.78.29.9
North Wales1.13.27.7
32.845.063.6
61.047.030.3
10.48.87.1
Barrow vs YorkHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
South Wales7.98.28.2
54.655.054.5
Barrow11.66.32.8
66.450.637.6
27.442.456.0
6.78.29.9
All Golds7.68.08.1
54.655.054.5
Coventry7.78.08.0
54.655.054.5
Newcastle7.78.08.0
54.655.054.5
Keighley7.78.07.9
54.655.054.5
Oxford7.68.08.1
54.655.054.5
York0.92.66.2
27.438.857.7
67.053.135.9
11.09.57.7
London vs TorontoHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington8.28.38.0
54.655.054.7
South Wales8.18.27.9
54.655.054.7
Barrow*8.08.28.0
54.655.054.7
Whitehaven8.08.17.9
54.555.154.7
Hemel8.08.07.7
54.555.154.7
All Golds7.97.97.6
54.555.154.7
Coventry8.08.07.7
54.555.054.7
Newcastle7.97.97.7
54.555.154.7
Keighley7.87.97.8
54.655.154.7
Oxford*7.87.97.8
54.655.054.7
London6.12.50.9
57.738.827.4
35.853.167.0
7.79.511.0
Toronto2.04.79.0
32.444.961.1
61.548.032.4
10.58.97.3
Week of 3/12
Barrow vs HemelIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Barrow11.86.22.6
66.450.637.7
27.542.355.8
6.78.29.9
Hemel3.5*7.914.3
43.256.471.3
50.136.823.0
9.37.66.1
Coventry vs BarrowHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Barrow3.68.114.5
43.256.471.4
50.136.822.9
9.37.66.1
Coventry11.66.02.5
66.350.637.7
27.542.355.8
6.78.29.9
Oxford vs WorkingtonHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington3.78.214.7
43.256.471.4
50.136.822.9
9.37.66.1
Oxford11.56.02.5
66.350.637.7
27.642.355.8
6.78.29.9
All Golds vs KeighleyHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
All Golds11.56.02.5
66.350.637.7
27.642.355.8
6.78.29.9
Keighley3.47.814.2
43.256.471.3
50.136.823.0
9.37.66.1
York vs South WalesHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
South Wales3.88.114.2
43.156.571.4
50.236.822.9
9.37.66.1
Barrow8.28.17.7
54.655.054.6
Hemel8.18.07.5
54.655.054.6
All Golds8.07.97.5
54.655.054.6
Coventry8.17.97.4
54.655.054.7
Newcastle8.07.97.5
54.655.054.6
Keighley8.07.97.4
54.655.054.6
Oxford8.07.97.5
54.655.054.6
York4.71.90.6
51.533.022.5
41.959.172.3
8.410.111.6
Whitehaven vs TorontoHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven11.66.22.7
66.450.737.7
27.542.355.9
6.78.29.9
Toronto1.94.79.2
32.444.961.0
61.447.932.5
10.58.97.3
Hemel vs HunsletHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington8.08.38.2
54.755.054.5
Whitehaven7.98.18.0
54.755.054.5
Hemel11.56.12.7
66.450.637.6
27.442.455.9
6.78.29.9
All Golds7.78.08.0
54.755.054.5
Keighley7.77.97.9
54.755.054.5
Oxford7.77.97.9
54.755.054.5
Hunslet1.33.68.2
32.845.063.6
61.147.030.2
10.48.87.1
Newcastle vs LondonHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Whitehaven7.98.18.0
54.755.054.5
All Golds7.78.08.0
54.755.054.5
Coventry7.78.08.1
54.755.054.5
Newcastle11.46.12.7
66.450.637.6
27.442.455.9
6.78.29.9
London1.23.48.0
32.845.063.6
61.147.030.2
10.48.87.1
North Wales vs DoncasterHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington8.08.38.2
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
South Wales7.98.28.1
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
Barrow7.98.28.1
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
Whitehaven7.98.18.1
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
Hemel7.78.08.0
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
All Golds7.87.97.8
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
Coventry7.78.08.0
54.755.354.5
39.038.739.2
Newcastle7.88.07.9
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
Keighley7.77.97.8
54.655.354.5
39.038.739.2
Oxford7.77.97.9
54.755.354.5
39.038.739.2
Hunslet4.04.24.1
45.245.745.1
London45.245.845.1
North Wales5.82.40.9
57.838.827.3
35.753.467.1
7.79.511.0
Toronto44.044.743.9
49.649.349.8
York39.640.139.5
Doncaster0.20.93.3
21.731.954.0
73.259.039.6
11.610.18.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Matt Grande for adding this league.