Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSuper 8Chance will finish season at seedLeague 1 Shield
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength7/1
Toronto2412-0-060998.5%-0.4Yes99101.0No1.910YorkToronto Wolfpack
WhitehavenWDoncaster 25-202211-0-12031.2+0.4Yes16830002.3+0.10No3.842Whitehaven RLFC
Barrow2110-1-12380.3+0.0Yes03069002.7-0.06No2.808All GoldsBarrow Raiders
YorkWKeighley 25-18168-0-4128No100.0%+0.90454111300004.7+0.610.0%-0.95.637at TorontoYork City Knights
DoncasterLWhitehaven 20-251416-2-318No-0.099.4-0.3042311951000004.9-0.410.6+0.34.608Doncaster RLFC
NewcastleWHemel 48-12147-0-574No96.7+2.4122041187210006.0+0.233.3-2.46.568Newcastle Thunder
WorkingtonWCoventry 29-28126-0-670No70.0+15.3151330201585307.8+0.6830.0-15.37.500Workington Town
KeighleyLYork 18-25126-0-6123No60.9-19.40110242618107318.3-1.0939.1+19.410.500Keighley Cougars
Hunslet105-0-722No32.1-1.600581920161613409.5-0.1767.9+1.68.432Hunslet RLFC
All GoldsWOxford 38-10126-0-6-100No15.6+6.400141118242316310.1+0.7184.4-6.412.500at BarrowUniversity of Gloucestershire All Golds
London94-1-7-92No14.3-1.600681018182712010.6-0.1885.7+1.611.398London Skolars
North WalesWSouth Wales 36-12105-0-7-111No9.0+2.5000271318222216010.8+0.4191.0-2.59.432North Wales Crusaders
OxfordLAll Golds 10-38814-0-7-148No2.0-4.60000235916622012.3-0.7598.0+4.613.392Oxford RLFC
CoventryLWorkington 28-2942-0-10-227NoNo-0.00027819014.2-0.07Yes+0.015.227Coventry Bears
South WalesLNorth Wales 12-3621-0-11-357NoNo019671414.9-0.01Yes14.158South Wales Ironmen
HemelLNewcastle 12-4800-0-12-450NoNo0148615.9-0.01Yes16.090Hemel Stags

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/24
Toronto 56 Hunslet 12
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Toronto+1.3
Whitehaven-1.0
Barrow-0.3
YorkNo
Newcastle+0.3
-0.3
Workington+0.9
-0.9
Keighley+0.7
-0.7
Hunslet-3.4
+3.4
-0.2
All Golds+0.3
-0.3
London+0.6
-0.6
North Wales+0.2
-0.2
Oxford+0.2
-0.2
Whitehaven 25 Doncaster 20
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Toronto-0.3
Whitehaven+0.3
+0.1
Doncaster*No
-0.2
London 10 Barrow 20
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Barrow+0.2
+0.1
Newcastle+0.4
-0.4
Workington+1.8
-1.8
Keighley+1.2
-1.2
Hunslet+1.6
-1.6
All Golds+0.6
-0.6
London-6.6
+6.6
-0.3
North Wales+0.5
-0.5
Oxford+0.4
-0.4
Newcastle 48 Hemel 12
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Newcastle+1.8
-1.8
+0.1
Workington-0.4
+0.4
Keighley-0.3
+0.3
-0.0
Hunslet-0.5
+0.5
All Golds-0.2
+0.2
North Wales-0.2
+0.2
Keighley 18 York 25
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
York+0.9
-0.9
+0.6
Newcastle+0.8
-0.8
Workington+2.6
-2.6
Keighley-12.9
+12.9
-0.8
Hunslet+3.6
-3.6
All Golds+1.4
-1.4
London+1.2
-1.2
North Wales+1.1
-1.1
Oxford+1.2
-1.2
Coventry 28 Workington 29
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
York-0.2
+0.2
Newcastle-0.8
+0.8
Workington+11.8
-11.8
+0.6
Keighley-1.8
+1.8
Hunslet-3.7
+3.7
All Golds-1.6
+1.6
London-1.5
+1.5
North Wales-1.2
+1.2
Oxford-0.9
+0.9
CoventryNo
Yes
-0.1
All Golds 38 Oxford 10
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Keighley+0.2
-0.2
All Golds+4.7
-4.7
+0.7
Oxford-4.5
+4.5
-0.6
North Wales 36 South Wales 12
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington-0.4
+0.4
Keighley-0.3
+0.3
Hunslet-0.3
+0.3
All Golds-0.2
+0.2
-0.1
London-0.2
+0.2
North Wales+1.6
-1.6
+0.3
South Wales-0.1
Week of 7/1
Toronto vs YorkIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Toronto99.796.189.9
1.01.01.1
Whitehaven0.23.77.9
2.32.32.2
Barrow0.00.22.2
York100.0YesYes
0.0NoNo
4.84.44.2
Doncaster4.95.05.2
Whitehaven vs KeighleyHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Newcastle97.096.694.7
3.03.45.3
5.96.06.2
Workington70.867.764.9
29.232.335.1
7.77.88.0
Keighley56.373.089.5
43.727.010.5
8.57.97.0
Hunslet33.527.223.5
66.572.876.5
9.59.69.7
All Golds16.414.210.2
83.685.889.8
10.110.110.2
London14.812.411.5
85.287.688.5
10.610.710.8
North Wales9.67.75.6
90.492.394.4
10.810.810.9
Barrow vs All GoldsHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Newcastle97.096.495.2
3.03.64.8
Workington71.665.462.8
28.434.637.2
7.77.98.0
Keighley63.353.450.3
36.746.649.7
8.28.58.6
Hunslet33.826.624.4
66.273.475.6
9.59.89.8
All Golds8.035.850.5
92.064.249.5
10.49.28.5
London15.113.910.5
84.986.189.5
10.610.710.9
North Wales9.67.66.3
90.492.493.7
10.711.011.1
Hemel vs South WalesHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
South Wales15.314.914.7
Hemel15.616.016.0
Workington vs LondonHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington85.068.139.2
15.031.960.8
7.28.09.1
Hunslet31.033.434.1
69.066.665.9
London0.913.942.2
99.186.157.8
11.310.39.2
Hunslet vs CoventryHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Newcastle96.397.798.0
3.72.32.0
6.05.95.9
Workington68.273.675.6
31.826.424.4
7.87.77.6
Keighley58.664.968.2
41.435.131.8
8.38.28.1
Hunslet39.317.69.1
60.782.490.9
9.110.210.9
All Golds14.318.419.4
85.781.680.6
10.29.99.8
North Wales8.211.011.8
91.889.088.2
10.910.610.6
Coventry14.214.113.9
Oxford vs North WalesHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Workington71.370.568.3
28.729.531.7
7.77.87.9
Keighley62.761.158.7
37.338.941.3
8.28.38.3
Hunslet33.332.330.5
66.767.769.5
9.49.69.6
All Golds16.416.514.5
83.683.585.5
10.010.010.2
North Wales1.37.418.8
98.792.681.2
11.610.79.7
Oxford3.60.90.2
96.499.199.8
11.812.512.9
Doncaster vs OxfordHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
York4.84.74.5
Doncaster99.999.797.5
0.10.32.5
4.75.05.6
Oxford0.52.07.0
99.598.093.0
12.612.111.4
Doncaster vs NewcastleHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Super 8100.0*League 1 Shield100.0*Average seed
Doncaster100.099.898.3
0.00.21.7
4.54.95.7
Newcastle94.899.399.8
5.20.70.2
6.55.75.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Matt Grande for adding this league.