Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
ThursdayPGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Adelaide2817-2-028598.8%-0.088.2%-0.54423148532110000000002.4-0.010.0%5.666Adelaide
GWS2817-2-014696.5-0.076.8-0.624241712854221100000003.2-0.010.01.604Greater Western Sydney
Port AdelaideLGeelong 79-812015-4-030294.3-1.166.7-6.0121920161185422110000004.0-0.390.06.692Port Adelaide
GeelongWPort Adelaide 81-79287-3-015093.8+4.863.5+10.8131718161296432110000004.1+0.710.0-0.04.603Geelong
West Coast2416-3-02568.3-0.424.3-0.7257101112111097643210007.0-0.040.02.520West Coast
Richmond2015-4-05266.6-0.422.0-0.824791112111097643210007.2-0.040.08.542Richmond
Bulldogs2015-4-02856.4-0.415.6-0.513579101111109865321008.1-0.030.07.523Western Bulldogs
Fremantle2416-3-0-7548.8-0.311.1-0.412358910111110986421008.7-0.020.03.439Fremantle
Essendon2015-4-0-746.6-0.410.7-0.412357910101010986531008.9-0.030.110.495Essendon
Melbourne1614-5-07046.9-0.410.2-0.412357910111110986531008.9-0.030.19.552Melbourne
St Kilda2015-4-02537.3-0.47.1-0.301246789101010108742109.6-0.030.113.519St Kilda
Sydney1213-6-0716.4-0.21.6-0.1000123468911131312963011.7-0.010.4-0.015.505HawthornSydney
North Melbourne1213-6-0-5010.2-0.20.8-0.10001123457911121414117212.7-0.011.5-0.011.464North Melbourne
Collingwood1213-6-0-439.2-0.30.8-0.10000122356811131414116112.9-0.031.5+0.012.464Collingwood
Gold Coast1223-5-0-1198.0-0.10.6-0.00000112346810121415138213.2-0.012.1-0.014.419Gold Coast
Carlton1213-6-0-1781.2-0.00.1-0.00000000112246101523261015.49.9-0.016.357Carlton
Hawthorn1213-6-0-2230.7-0.00.0-0.0000000001123691422311015.610.117.350at SydneyHawthorn
Brisbane411-8-0-3950.00.00000000000000126167417.674.1+0.018.283Brisbane

Games have been declared neutral when the away team plays home games in the same stadium (Adelaide/Port and Geelong/North Melbourne), when Melbourne teams play in Melbourne regardless of stadium, and any games outside the normal home catchment area (Cairns/Tasmania matches).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/25
Geelong 81 Port Adelaide 79
7:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Adelaide-0.2
GWS-0.2
+0.0
Port Adelaide-2.3
-9.2
-0.6
Geelong+4.8
+11.0
+0.7
West Coast-0.2
-0.3
Richmond-0.2
-0.3
Bulldogs-0.3
-0.2
Fremantle-0.3
-0.2
Essendon-0.3
-0.1
Melbourne-0.3
-0.1
St Kilda-0.3
-0.1
Sydney-0.2
North Melbourne-0.1
Collingwood-0.1
Gold Coast-0.1
Richmond vs EssendonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond76.566.354.7
29.420.413.0
6.47.38.2
Essendon36.148.459.3
5.9*10.616.6
9.78.77.8
Bulldogs vs St KildaHomeTieAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs67.756.944.8
22.014.99.1
7.18.09.0
St Kilda26.536.948.2
3.56.410.8
10.69.68.7
Melbourne vs Gold CoastHomeTieAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs56.057.257.4
15.415.915.9
Fremantle48.450.249.9
11.011.411.4
8.78.68.6
Essendon46.247.547.7
10.610.911.0
Melbourne52.538.930.9
12.36.74.3
8.49.510.2
Gold Coast5.59.415.4
0.30.71.5
2.61.40.8
13.612.812.0
Adelaide vs FremantleHomeTieAway
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Adelaide99.398.496.7
90.885.177.6
NoNo0.0
2.22.63.1
West Coast68.767.566.7
7.07.07.1
Richmond67.065.565.0
22.021.722.1
7.27.37.3
Bulldogs56.855.254.6
8.08.18.1
Fremantle44.659.665.9
8.516.221.6
9.07.87.2
Essendon47.145.644.8
8.88.98.9
Melbourne47.345.445.0
10.29.910.3
8.89.09.0
St Kilda37.736.235.6
9.69.79.7
Sydney16.715.415.2
11.611.711.7
West Coast vs GWSHomeTieAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS94.797.598.6
69.080.186.0
0.0No0.0
3.83.02.6
Port Adelaide94.194.194.5
66.565.366.9
4.04.14.0
West Coast77.270.257.8
32.424.514.9
6.26.98.0
Richmond65.866.367.5
22.021.621.9
Bulldogs55.656.257.3
15.715.315.5
Fremantle47.949.049.8
Essendon45.846.347.6
Melbourne46.046.347.9
10.39.810.1
St Kilda36.536.938.2
9.79.79.6
Sydney vs HawthornHomeTieAway
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sydney19.110.77.5
1.90.70.4
0.20.61.2
11.312.313.0
Hawthorn0.40.91.9
11.87.24.5
15.915.314.7
Brisbane73.076.177.6
Carlton vs North MelbourneHomeTieAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
North Melbourne5.17.813.5
0.20.41.2
2.91.60.7
13.713.112.1
Carlton2.31.10.5
5.18.613.0
14.715.315.8
Brisbane76.575.172.5
Collingwood vs BrisbaneHomeTieAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Collingwood10.65.83.8
0.90.40.2
0.72.04.7
12.613.414.0
Gold Coast1.82.53.2
13.213.113.1
Carlton8.811.514.3
Hawthorn8.911.515.2
Brisbane77.969.558.9
17.717.517.2
Week of 6/1
Fremantle vs CollingwoodIf winner is:HomeTieAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond66.1*66.667.5
21.7*22.022.5
Bulldogs55.8*56.457.3
15.3*15.616.0
Fremantle57.249.934.7
14.511.05.5
8.08.59.8
Essendon46.1*46.747.6
10.5*10.711.0
Melbourne46.346.547.8
10.0*10.210.6
St Kilda36.8*37.338.1
7.0*7.17.3
Collingwood5.38.715.7
0.30.61.6
2.01.30.5
13.512.811.8
GWS vs EssendonHomeTieAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS98.096.492.7
81.975.363.7
0.0No0.0
2.93.34.1
West Coast68.868.067.0
24.124.625.0
Richmond67.166.065.4
21.7*22.022.7
Bulldogs56.955.855.0
15.4*15.516.1
Fremantle49.3*48.747.3
10.911.411.5
8.68.68.7
Essendon40.752.261.9
7.313.019.6
9.48.47.6
Melbourne47.445.845.5
10.19.910.6
8.88.98.9
St Kilda37.836.736.0
7.0*7.17.4
9.69.79.7
North Melbourne vs RichmondHomeTieAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS77.877.376.1
Port Adelaide67.966.565.7
3.94.04.0
Geelong94.093.993.7
64.864.062.4
4.04.14.1
West Coast68.968.967.8
25.324.923.6
Richmond54.765.575.3
13.220.028.4
8.27.36.5
Fremantle49.549.748.2
11.611.310.7
8.68.68.7
North Melbourne16.39.25.8
1.60.60.3
0.61.42.2
11.812.813.4
Gold Coast vs West CoastHomeTieAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS77.7*76.975.8
Port Adelaide94.494.194.1
67.865.965.4
3.94.04.0
Geelong94.0*93.893.6
64.7*63.562.1
4.14.14.2
West Coast59.071.578.5
16.625.932.8
7.86.76.1
Richmond67.266.466.0
22.821.821.1
7.27.27.3
Bulldogs57.056.255.7
16.215.514.9
Fremantle49.549.148.0
11.611.210.6
Essendon47.346.445.9
11.210.610.2
Melbourne47.646.346.1
10.710.09.7
Gold Coast11.77.13.9
1.00.40.2
1.01.93.3
12.513.213.9
Port Adelaide vs HawthornHomeTieAway
7:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS76.578.278.7
3.33.13.1
Port Adelaide95.590.487.3
69.854.548.5
0.0No0.1
3.84.75.1
Geelong63.065.466.1
4.14.04.0
West Coast68.268.768.8
23.926.026.6
7.06.96.9
Richmond66.566.967.1
21.623.524.2
7.27.27.1
Bulldogs56.356.856.9
15.316.817.4
8.18.08.0
Fremantle48.749.349.4
10.812.212.5
8.78.68.6
Essendon46.547.147.2
10.511.612.1
Melbourne46.847.247.5
10.010.911.6
Hawthorn0.51.12.2
11.16.84.3
15.715.214.7
Brisbane73.476.478.1
Geelong vs AdelaideHomeTieAway
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Adelaide98.299.099.6
83.589.794.2
0.0NoNo
2.82.31.9
Port Adelaide65.865.767.7
Geelong96.894.590.0
73.263.751.2
0.0No0.0
3.54.14.9
West Coast68.1*68.368.6
23.624.525.2
Richmond66.4*66.666.9
21.221.722.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.