Football League Two Title Chances 2015-2016Leyton Orient +47.7, Wycombe -32.8 Chance Will Win Championship Explain To update, cc this data to: scs-bgix@snkmail.com Big GamesWho should we root for? Explain Week of 8/14 | Notts County 0 Mansfield 2 | Fri | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Notts County | -10.3 | | -29.9 | | | | -4.0 | | | Week of 8/15 | Barnet 2 Northampton 0 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Northampton | -21.1 | | -47.5 | | | | -3.1 | | Barnet | | | | | -62.2 | | +5.4 | | | Crawley 0 Portsmouth 0 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Portsmouth | -15.7 | | -18.1 | | | | -1.0 | | Crawley | | | -0.2 | | -7.3 | | +0.5 | | | Plymouth 1 Portsmouth 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Plymouth | -7.0 | | -22.9 | | | | -3.6 | | Portsmouth | +15.6 | | +32.7 | | No | | +3.6 | | | Morecambe 0 Wycombe 1 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Wycombe | +13.1 | | +14.1 | | | | +0.8 | | Morecambe | No | | | | | | -1.1 | | | Barnet 0 Wycombe 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Wycombe | +11.6 | | +17.5 | | No | | +1.6 | | Barnet | No | | | | +12.1 | | -1.6 | | | Dag & Red 1 Leyton Orient 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Leyton Orient | +10.4 | | +17.4 | | No | | +1.6 | | Dag & Red | No | | | | +13.8 | | -1.6 | | | York 1 Hartlepool 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Hartlepool | +10.4 | | +17.4 | | No | | +1.6 | | York | No | | | | +11.1 | | -1.6 | | | Leyton Orient 3 Stevenage 0 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Leyton Orient | +8.2 | | +12.7 | | | | +0.8 | | Stevenage | | | No | | +5.2 | | -0.9 | | Luton | *No | | | | | | | | | Carlisle 4 Cambridge 4 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Cambridge | -7.6 | | -6.0 | | No | | -0.4 | | Carlisle | -0.5 | | -3.4 | | | | -0.6 | | | Northampton 3 Exeter 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Exeter | -4.4 | | -13.8 | | | | -1.7 | | Northampton | +7.8 | | +16.9 | | No | | +1.9 | | | Hartlepool 1 Newport 0 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Hartlepool | +5.8 | | +12.5 | | | | +0.8 | | Luton | *No | | | | | | | | Newport | | | No | | +6.9 | | -0.9 | | | Luton 2 Oxford Utd 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Oxford Utd | -0.2 | | -1.8 | | -2.5 | | | | | Wimbledon 1 Cambridge 2 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Cambridge | +0.8 | | +16.6 | | | | +2.2 | | Wimbledon | No | | -2.1 | | | | -2.4 | | | Accrington 1 Mansfield 0 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Mansfield | No | | -17.1 | | | | -3.0 | | Accrington | | | +1.3 | | No | | +4.6 | | | Crawley 1 Wimbledon 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Crawley | No | | -5.1 | | +9.8 | | -4.8 | | Wimbledon | | | +1.4 | | -28.9 | | +4.7 | | | Morecambe 1 Accrington 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Morecambe | | | | | -22.5 | | +3.6 | | | Yeovil 0 Bristol Rovers 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Yeovil | No | | -4.8 | | +11.8 | | -4.5 | | | Newport 2 Stevenage 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Stevenage | No | | | | -11.9 | | | | Newport | No | | | | +1.3 | | -1.5 | | | Luton 0 Bristol Rovers 1 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Bristol Rovers | | | +12.4 | | No | | +3.5 | | Luton | | | No | | +0.5 | | -3.8 | | | Plymouth 4 Carlisle 1 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Plymouth | | | +1.7 | | No | | +2.4 | | Carlisle | | | No | | | | -2.1 | | | Dag & Red 1 Exeter 2 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Exeter | | | +7.4 | | No | | +2.5 | | Dag & Red | | | No | | +35.2 | | -2.1 | | | Oxford Utd 3 Notts County 1 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Oxford Utd | | | +1.4 | | No | | +2.7 | | Notts County | No | | -4.4 | | | | -2.1 | | | York 1 Yeovil 0 | Tue | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | York | | | | | -31.3 | | +3.7 | | Yeovil | | | No | | +25.1 | | -3.4 | | | Week of 8/22 | Wycombe 1 Dag & Red 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Wycombe | -31.8 | | -16.9 | | | | -1.1 | | Plymouth | No | | | | | | | | Bristol Rovers | *No | | | | | | | | Portsmouth | +1.3 | | +7.2 | | | | +0.2 | | Cambridge | +1.3 | | +7.0 | | | | +0.2 | | Exeter | *No | | | | | | | | Northampton | No | | | | | | | | Morecambe | | | | | No | | | | Notts County | | | | | No | | | | Wimbledon | | | | | No | | | | Stevenage | | | | | +17.0 | | -0.4 | | York | | | | | No | | | | Barnet | | | | | No | | | | Newport | | | | | +8.2 | | -0.2 | | Dag & Red | | | | | -24.7 | | +0.8 | | | Newport 2 Leyton Orient 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Leyton Orient | +21.4 | | Yes | | | | +0.6 | | Wycombe | -13.8 | | | | | | -0.2 | | Plymouth | No | | | | | | | | Bristol Rovers | No | | | | | | | | Portsmouth | No | | -3.2 | | | | | | Cambridge | No | | -3.2 | | | | | | Exeter | No | | | | | | | | Northampton | No | | | | | | | | Morecambe | | | | | No | | | | Notts County | | | | | No | | | | Wimbledon | | | | | No | | | | York | | | | | No | | | | Barnet | | | | | No | | | | Newport | | | | | +10.7 | | -0.7 | | | Stevenage 2 Hartlepool 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Hartlepool | -13.9 | | -53.4 | | | | -2.7 | | Portsmouth | +1.0 | | +16.9 | | | | +0.5 | | Cambridge | +1.1 | | +18.8 | | | | +0.4 | | Stevenage | | | | | No | | +6.2 | | Newport | | | | | +24.6 | | -0.6 | | | Cambridge 0 Crawley 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Cambridge | No | | -31.8 | | | | -3.1 | | Crawley | | | | | No | | +5.3 | | | Portsmouth 3 Morecambe 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Portsmouth | No | | -21.1 | | | | -2.1 | | Morecambe | | | No | | No | | +1.8 | | | Northampton 0 Plymouth 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Northampton | No | | No | | | | -2.6 | | | Exeter 0 York 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Exeter | | | -12.2 | | | | -1.3 | | Morecambe | | | No | | | | -0.3 | | Notts County | | | No | | | | -0.2 | | Wimbledon | | | No | | | | -0.2 | | York | | | No | | No | | +1.0 | | Barnet | | | No | | | | -0.2 | | | Bristol Rovers 3 Barnet 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Bristol Rovers | | | +8.2 | | | | +1.3 | | Morecambe | | | No | | | | +0.2 | | Notts County | | | No | | | | | | Wimbledon | | | No | | | | | | York | | | No | | | | | | Barnet | | | No | | | | -1.5 | | | Mansfield 1 Oxford Utd 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Oxford Utd | | | -2.8 | | | | +0.9 | | Mansfield | | | No | | | | -1.7 | | | Notts County 1 Accrington 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Accrington | | | No | | | | -0.6 | | Notts County | | | No | | No | | -0.4 | | | Carlisle 1 Wimbledon 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Wimbledon | | | No | | No | | +1.1 | | Carlisle | | | | | -0.3 | | -1.3 | | | Yeovil 3 Luton 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Stevenage | | | | | +21.2 | | -0.4 | | Yeovil | | | | | No | | +4.2 | | Luton | | | | | +1.4 | | -4.3 | | Newport | | | | | +13.0 | | -0.4 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know. Thank you bgix, bjartur for adding this league. |