"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLeague OneChance will finish season at seedConference
8/22PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Leyton OrientWNewport 3-2124-0-08Yes+47.7Yes+7.61001.0+0.87No9.813Leyton Orient
WycombeTDag & Red 1-1103-1-06No-32.8Yes+7.31002.0+0.08No2.863Wycombe
PlymouthWNorthampton 2-093-0-16No-0.0Yes+88.61003.0+4.96No5.772Plymouth
Bristol RoversWBarnet 3-193-0-13No-0.025.0%+8.91004.0+3.24No16.712Bristol Rovers
HartlepoolLStevenage 0-293-0-12No-13.925.0-54.01005.0-2.07No11.627Hartlepool
PortsmouthTMorecambe 3-382-2-04No-0.525.0-14.01006.0-1.14No1.686Portsmouth
CambridgeLCrawley 0-372-1-11No-0.525.0-14.31007.0-1.98No21.533Cambridge
ExeterTYork 0-072-1-1-1No-0.0No-12.61008.0-0.02No13.443Exeter
Oxford UtdTMansfield 1-161-3-02NoNo-2.91009.0+1.71No7.592Oxford Utd
NorthamptonLPlymouth 0-262-0-20No-0.0No-11.410010.0-2.02No6.495Northampton
CrawleyWCambridge 3-051-2-12NoNo10011.0+7.41No-0.54.627Crawley
MansfieldTOxford Utd 1-151-2-11NoNo-2.410012.0-1.07No15.569Mansfield
AccringtonTNotts County 1-151-2-10NoNo-0.810013.0-0.90No17.495Accrington
WimbledonTCarlisle 1-141-1-2-2NoNo-0.033333315.0+0.42No-0.012.384Wimbledon
MorecambeTPortsmouth 3-341-1-2-2NoNo-0.033333315.0+2.08No-0.03.384Morecambe
Notts CountyTAccrington 1-141-1-2-2NoNo-0.033333315.0-0.56No-0.023.384Notts County
StevenageWHartlepool 2-041-1-2-3NoNo10017.0+4.84No-41.618.341Stevenage
YorkTExeter 0-041-1-2-3NoNo-0.010018.0-1.32No-0.014.279York
YeovilWLuton 3-231-0-3-2NoNo10019.0+1.36No-42.124.398Yeovil
CarlisleTWimbledon 1-130-3-1-3NoNo10020.0-4.00No-0.320.384Carlisle
BarnetLBristol Rovers 1-331-0-3-4NoNo-0.010021.0-4.45No-0.08.278Barnet
LutonLYeovil 2-320-2-2-2NoNo10022.0-5.53No-0.822.398Luton
NewportLLeyton Orient 2-310-1-3-5NoNo10023.0-1.48Yes+74.819.274Newport
Dag & RedTWycombe 1-110-1-3-6NoNo10024.0-0.44Yes+10.610.219Dag & Red

To update, cc this data to: scs-bgix@snkmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/14
Notts County 0 Mansfield 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County-10.3
-29.9
-4.0
Week of 8/15
Barnet 2 Northampton 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton-21.1
-47.5
-3.1
Barnet-62.2
+5.4
Crawley 0 Portsmouth 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth-15.7
-18.1
-1.0
Crawley-0.2
-7.3
+0.5
Plymouth 1 Portsmouth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Plymouth-7.0
-22.9
-3.6
Portsmouth+15.6
+32.7
No
+3.6
Morecambe 0 Wycombe 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe+13.1
+14.1
+0.8
MorecambeNo
-1.1
Barnet 0 Wycombe 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe+11.6
+17.5
No
+1.6
BarnetNo
+12.1
-1.6
Dag & Red 1 Leyton Orient 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Leyton Orient+10.4
+17.4
No
+1.6
Dag & RedNo
+13.8
-1.6
York 1 Hartlepool 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Hartlepool+10.4
+17.4
No
+1.6
YorkNo
+11.1
-1.6
Leyton Orient 3 Stevenage 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Leyton Orient+8.2
+12.7
+0.8
StevenageNo
+5.2
-0.9
Luton*No
Carlisle 4 Cambridge 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge-7.6
-6.0
No
-0.4
Carlisle-0.5
-3.4
-0.6
Northampton 3 Exeter 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter-4.4
-13.8
-1.7
Northampton+7.8
+16.9
No
+1.9
Hartlepool 1 Newport 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Hartlepool+5.8
+12.5
+0.8
Luton*No
NewportNo
+6.9
-0.9
Luton 2 Oxford Utd 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd-0.2
-1.8
-2.5
Wimbledon 1 Cambridge 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge+0.8
+16.6
+2.2
WimbledonNo
-2.1
-2.4
Accrington 1 Mansfield 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
MansfieldNo
-17.1
-3.0
Accrington+1.3
No
+4.6
Crawley 1 Wimbledon 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
CrawleyNo
-5.1
+9.8
-4.8
Wimbledon+1.4
-28.9
+4.7
Morecambe 1 Accrington 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Morecambe-22.5
+3.6
Yeovil 0 Bristol Rovers 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
YeovilNo
-4.8
+11.8
-4.5
Newport 2 Stevenage 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
StevenageNo
-11.9
NewportNo
+1.3
-1.5
Luton 0 Bristol Rovers 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Bristol Rovers+12.4
No
+3.5
LutonNo
+0.5
-3.8
Plymouth 4 Carlisle 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Plymouth+1.7
No
+2.4
CarlisleNo
-2.1
Dag & Red 1 Exeter 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter+7.4
No
+2.5
Dag & RedNo
+35.2
-2.1
Oxford Utd 3 Notts County 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd+1.4
No
+2.7
Notts CountyNo
-4.4
-2.1
York 1 Yeovil 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
York-31.3
+3.7
YeovilNo
+25.1
-3.4
Week of 8/22
Wycombe 1 Dag & Red 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe-31.8
-16.9
-1.1
PlymouthNo
Bristol Rovers*No
Portsmouth+1.3
+7.2
+0.2
Cambridge+1.3
+7.0
+0.2
Exeter*No
NorthamptonNo
WimbledonNo
MorecambeNo
Notts CountyNo
Stevenage+17.0
-0.4
YorkNo
BarnetNo
Newport+8.2
-0.2
Dag & Red-24.7
+0.8
Newport 2 Leyton Orient 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Leyton Orient+21.4
Yes
+0.6
Wycombe-13.8
-0.2
PlymouthNo
Bristol RoversNo
PortsmouthNo
-3.2
CambridgeNo
-3.2
ExeterNo
NorthamptonNo
WimbledonNo
MorecambeNo
Notts CountyNo
YorkNo
BarnetNo
Newport+10.7
-0.7
Stevenage 2 Hartlepool 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Hartlepool-13.9
-53.4
-2.7
Portsmouth+1.0
+16.9
+0.5
Cambridge+1.1
+18.8
+0.4
StevenageNo
+6.2
Newport+24.6
-0.6
Cambridge 0 Crawley 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
CambridgeNo
-31.8
-3.1
CrawleyNo
+5.3
Portsmouth 3 Morecambe 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
PortsmouthNo
-21.1
-2.1
MorecambeNo
No
+1.8
Northampton 0 Plymouth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
NorthamptonNo
No
-2.6
Exeter 0 York 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter-12.2
-1.3
WimbledonNo
-0.2
MorecambeNo
-0.3
Notts CountyNo
-0.2
YorkNo
No
+1.0
BarnetNo
-0.2
Bristol Rovers 3 Barnet 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Bristol Rovers+8.2
+1.3
WimbledonNo
MorecambeNo
+0.2
Notts CountyNo
YorkNo
BarnetNo
-1.5
Mansfield 1 Oxford Utd 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd-2.8
+0.9
MansfieldNo
-1.7
Notts County 1 Accrington 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
AccringtonNo
-0.6
Notts CountyNo
No
-0.4
Carlisle 1 Wimbledon 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
WimbledonNo
No
+1.1
Carlisle-0.3
-1.3
Yeovil 3 Luton 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Stevenage+21.2
-0.4
YeovilNo
+4.2
Luton+1.4
-4.3
Newport+13.0
-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix, bjartur for adding this league.