Farrier's Arms Title Chances

Lost to Irish Club 2-6, title odds down 0.9 to 0.06%

20 points 8-4-3

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Average seed
Hatfield Road vs Irish Club	-0.1-0.0+0.2		+0.1+0.0-0.2		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Farrier's Arms vs White Horse	+0.1-0.0-0.1		+24.7-8.9-19.9		+0.5-0.1-0.5
Colney Heath FC vs New Greens			+1.4+0.9-1.0		+0.2+0.1-0.1
Jolly Sailor A vs Queen's Head A			+0.4-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Farrier's Arms finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promotion		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Relegation	Count

30	5	-	0	-	0	3.3	%	96.1	%	3	93	4									No	325,134,320
29	4	-	1	-	0	0.2		77.5		0	77	22	0								No	1,977,257,805
28	3	-	2	-	0	0.0		45.7		0	46	52	2	0							No	4,837,861,119
	4	-	0	-	1	0.0		37.1		0	37	60	3	0							No	383,207,746
27	2	-	3	-	0	0.0		16.2		0	16	69	14	0							No	5,846,069,178
	3	-	1	-	1	0.0		13.2		0	13	72	15	0							No	1,775,650,956
26	1	-	4	-	0	No		2.6			3	56	39	2							No	3,491,682,840
	2	-	2	-	1	No		2.4			2	56	40	2							No	3,040,768,071
	3	-	0	-	2	No		0.8			1	56	40	3							No	122,224,729
25	1	-	3	-	1	No		0.1			0	27	60	13	0						No	2,287,391,335
	0	-	5	-	0	No		0.1			0	28	60	12	0						No	825,434,833
	2	-	1	-	2	No		0.1			0	27	60	13	0						No	379,915,458
24	0	-	4	-	1	No		0.0			0	8	57	35	0	0					No	639,196,701
	1	-	2	-	2	No		0.0			0	8	56	36	0	0					No	393,507,154
	2	-	0	-	3	No		0.0			0	8	55	36	0	0					No	4,536,362
23	0	-	3	-	2	No		0.0			0	1	33	64	3	0					No	135,820,226
	1	-	1	-	3	No		0.0			0	1	32	64	3	0					No	9,299,667
22	0	-	2	-	3	No		No				0	11	75	14	0					No	4,761,643
	1	-	0	-	4	No		No				0	11	75	14	0					No	58,979
21	0	-	1	-	4	No		No				0	2	61	36	1					No	59,831
20	0	-	0	-	5	No		No					0	24	60	15	0				No	5,989,739

Total:						0.1	%	21.0	%	0	21	50	25	4	0	0	0				No	26,485,828,692

Games Above .500

Chance Will Win Championship