Westlake Thunder Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to AF 32-36, playoff odds down 2.7 to 0%
3-8   .273

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PG 61 LP 53 -0.5
-0.1
Riv 50 AF 47 +0.4
Lehi 52 Her 44 +0.3
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AF 36 West 32 Out
-0.1
Her 44 PG 41 -0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LP vs Her+0.1-0.2
AF vs Lehi+0.1-0.1
West vs PG+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the West finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegionChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LplayoffsChamps1234567Count
41-0OutNo100883,788,041
30-1OutNo9281,513,639,147
Total:OutNo9552,397,427,188
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Lottery seed
PG 61 LP 53 +0.3
Lehi 52 Her 44 -0.0
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Lottery seed
Her 44 PG 41 +0.1
AF 36 West 32 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Lottery seed
West vs PG-0.6+0.4

What If

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L1234567
41-0100
30-1199
Total:3763