Herriman Mustangs Playoff Chances 2014

Beat PG 44-41, playoff odds up 4.2 to 8.5%
4-7   .364

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lehi 52 Her 44 -4.3
-0.1
Riv 50 AF 47 +1.5
+0.0
PG 61 LP 53 -0.2
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Her 44 PG 41 +4.8
+0.7
AF 36 West 32 -1.0
+0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LP vs HerOut+37.1
-0.1+0.4
AF vs LehiOut+10.1
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Her finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegionChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LplayoffsChamps1234567Count
51-045.6%No4654445,169,357
40-1OutNo1001,952,257,831
Total:8.5%No8922,397,427,188
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Lottery seed
PG 61 LP 53 +0.2
Lehi 52 Her 44 +0.1
Riv 50 AF 47 -0.0
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Lottery seed
Her 44 PG 41 -0.7
AF 36 West 32 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Lottery seed
LP vs Her+0.1-0.4
AF vs Lehi+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L1234567
51-04654
40-1100
Total:892