Lone Peak Knights Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Riv 62-73, average seed down 0.03 to 2.1
7-4   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Region Champs100.0*Average seed
PG 61 LP 53 No
Riv 50 AF 47 No
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Region Champs100.0*Average seed
LP 62 Riv 73 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Region Champs100.0*Average seed
LP vs Her+0.1-0.4
AF vs Lehi+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the LP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegionChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LplayoffsChamps1234567Count
81-0InNo1001,952,257,831
70-1InNo5446445,169,357
Total:InNo9282,397,427,188
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs