Minnesota Winter Playoff Chances 8

Beat Snowjobs 4-3 (ot), playoff odds up 0.03 to 0.4%

12 points 2-2 6-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winter 4 Snowjobs 3 (ot)			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chews vs Winter	-0.2-0.0+0.2+0.7		-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.4
Walruses vs Costanzas	-0.2-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Bulls vs Minibosses	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Winter finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

45	11	-	0	0		-	0	In		17	14	48		21						248
44	10	-	1	0		-	0	In		50				50						2
43	10	-	0	0		-	1	80.0	%			20		60		20				5	*
42	9	-	1	0		-	1	95.0			5	20		70		5				20	*
41	9	-	1	1		-	0	79.3			3	17	2	57		21				58	*
40	8	-	1	0		-	2	58.8				7	1	51		41				165	*
39	8	-	1	1		-	1	52.7				3	1	48		47				490	*
38	7	-	2	1		-	1	39.3			0	1	1	36	1	61				1,039	*
37	7	-	1	1		-	2	26.2				0	0	24	2	74	0			2,251	*
36	7	-	1	2		-	1	17.2				0	0	15	2	83	0			4,664	*
35	6	-	2	2		-	1	10.7					0	8	3	88	1			9,137	*
34	6	-	1	2		-	2	6.7					0	4	3	91	2	0		15,770	*
33	6	-	1	3		-	1	4.0					0	2	2	90	6	0		26,882	*
32	5	-	2	3		-	1	2.2						1	2	85	12	0		41,849	*
31	5	-	1	3		-	2	1.1						0	1	77	22	0		61,778	*
30	4	-	2	3		-	2	0.5						0	0	65	34	1	0	86,675	*
29	4	-	1	3		-	3	0.3						0	0	51	47	2	0	52,208	*
	5	-	0	4		-	2	0.3						0	0	50	47	2	0	61,862	*
28	4	-	1	4		-	2	0.1						0	0	37	58	5	0	78,182	*
	3	-	2	3		-	3	0.1							0	36	59	5	0	64,870	*
27	4	-	1	5		-	1	0.0							0	24	66	10	0	77,673	*
	3	-	2	4		-	2	0.0							0	23	66	11	0	90,137	*
26	3	-	1	4		-	3	0.0							0	13	67	19	1	49,194
	4	-	0	5		-	2	0.0							0	13	67	19	1	65,521	*
	3	-	2	5		-	1	0.0							0	13	67	18	1	72,537	*
25	3	-	1	5		-	2	0.0							0	7	62	29	3	64,662
	2	-	2	4		-	3	Out								6	62	29	3	80,951	*
	3	-	0	4		-	4	0.0							0	7	61	30	3	50,872	*
24	3	-	1	6		-	1	0.0							0	3	51	40	6	47,150
	2	-	2	5		-	2	Out								3	51	40	6	44,487
	3	-	0	5		-	3	0.0							0	3	50	41	6	45,140	*
	2	-	1	4		-	4	Out								3	50	41	6	58,211	*
23	2	-	1	5		-	3	0.0							0	1	37	49	13	50,398
	3	-	0	6		-	2	0.0							0	1	38	49	13	54,436	*
	2	-	2	6		-	1	Out								1	37	49	13	76,667	*
22	2	-	1	6		-	2	Out								0	25	52	23	55,575
	1	-	2	5		-	3	Out								0	23	53	23	44,291	*
	3	-	0	7		-	1	Out								0	25	53	22	59,165	*
21	2	-	0	6		-	3	Out								0	14	51	36	56,179	*
	2	-	1	7		-	1	Out								0	14	51	35	73,644	*
20	2	-	0	7		-	2	Out								0	7	44	49	54,942	*
	1	-	1	6		-	3	Out									6	42	52	44,217	*
19	1	-	1	7		-	2	Out									3	32	65	70,354	*
18	1	-	1	8		-	1	Out									1	21	78	45,534	*
17	1	-	0	8		-	2	Out									0	13	87	26,906	*
16	1	-	0	9		-	1	Out									0	7	93	14,477	*
15	0	-	0	8		-	3	Out										3	97	6,691	*
14	0	-	0	9		-	2	Out										1	99	2,661	*
13	0	-	0	10		-	1	Out										0	100	914
12	0	-	0	11		-	0	Out											100	415

Total:								0.4	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	19	39	26	15	1,992,156

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winter 4 Snowjobs 3 (ot)	-0.2
Thieves 0 Bulls 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chews vs Winter	+0.3-0.1-0.4-0.8
Thieves vs Academy	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

45	11	-	0	0		-	0	0	17	10	4	40	8			21
44	10	-	1	0		-	0		50							50
43	10	-	0	0		-	1					20				60				20
42	9	-	1	0		-	1				5		20			70				5
41	9	-	1	1		-	0			2	2	5	12		2	50	7			21
40	8	-	1	0		-	2						7		1	41	10			41
39	8	-	1	1		-	1					0	3	1	1	30	18			47	0
38	7	-	2	1		-	1				0		1	0	1	18	18	1		60	0
37	7	-	1	1		-	2						0	0	0	10	14	2	0	71	2
36	7	-	1	2		-	1						0	0	0	4	11	2	0	77	6
35	6	-	2	2		-	1								0	1	7	2	0	78	11	0
34	6	-	1	2		-	2								0	0	4	2	1	72	21	0
33	6	-	1	3		-	1								0	0	2	2	1	61	33	2	0
32	5	-	2	3		-	1										1	1	1	47	45	6	0
31	5	-	1	3		-	2										0	0	1	32	53	13	0
30	4	-	2	3		-	2										0	0	0	19	53	25	2	0
29	4	-	1	3		-	3										0	0	0	9	45	39	6	0	0
28	4	-	1	4		-	2										0	0	0	4	32	49	15	1	0
	3	-	2	3		-	3											0	0	4	30	50	15	1	0
27	3	-	2	4		-	2												0	1	18	50	28	4	0
	4	-	1	5		-	1											0	0	1	18	49	28	4	0	0
	3	-	1	3		-	4												0	1	17	49	28	4	0	0
26	3	-	1	4		-	3												0	0	8	39	41	11	1	0
	4	-	0	5		-	2												0	0	8	40	41	10	1	0
	3	-	2	5		-	1												0	0	8	40	41	10	1	0
25	3	-	1	5		-	2												0	0	3	26	47	21	3	0	0
	2	-	2	4		-	3													0	2	26	47	21	3	0	0
	3	-	0	4		-	4												0	0	3	26	47	21	3	0
24	3	-	1	6		-	1												0	0	1	14	43	32	9	1	0
	2	-	2	5		-	2													0	1	13	43	33	9	1	0
	3	-	0	5		-	3												0	0	1	13	42	34	10	1	0
	2	-	1	4		-	4														1	12	42	35	10	1	0
23	2	-	1	5		-	3												0		0	5	31	41	20	3	0
	3	-	0	6		-	2												0	0	0	5	31	41	19	3	0
	2	-	2	6		-	1													0	0	5	31	41	19	3	0
22	2	-	1	6		-	2														0	1	18	40	31	9	1
	3	-	0	7		-	1														0	2	18	40	30	9	1
	2	-	0	5		-	4															1	16	40	32	9	1
21	2	-	0	6		-	3															0	8	31	40	19	2
	2	-	1	7		-	1														0	0	8	31	40	18	2
20	2	-	0	7		-	2															0	3	19	41	32	5
	1	-	2	7		-	1															0	3	19	41	31	5
19	1	-	1	7		-	2															0	1	10	34	43	12
18	1	-	1	8		-	1																0	4	24	50	22
17	1	-	0	8		-	2																0	1	13	50	36
16	1	-	0	9		-	1																	0	7	43	50
15	0	-	0	8		-	3																	0	3	33	65
14	0	-	0	9		-	2																		1	22	77
13	0	-	0	10		-	1																		0	13	87
12	0	-	0	11		-	0																			9	91

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	13	20	21	17	12	8	3