SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carp 4 BayStars 5 +2.5
+0.1
Swallows 4 Dragons 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carp vs BayStars-2.1*+0.1+2.8
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Swallows vs Dragons+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the BayStars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456Count
182-263In1001,242*
18181-38-6In95521*
18080-38-7In93730*
17979-38-8In93840*
17878-38-9In861465*
17778-39-8In927171*
17678-40-7In9091123*
17578-41-6In88102163*
17477-41-7In8982245*
17377-42-6In87112313*
17276-42-7In89101438*
17175-42-8In87102600*
17075-43-799.9%871120864*
16974-43-899.78611301,165*
16874-44-799.58710301,545*
16773-44-899.68611301,909*
16673-45-799.28512212,636*
16572-45-899.481162103,315*
16472-46-799.179182104,307*
16371-46-898.877202105,695*
16271-47-798.772252107,186*
16170-47-898.766302109,111*
16070-48-798.9623431011,473*
15969-48-898.8564031014,164*
15869-49-799.0504451017,652*
15768-49-899.0444871021,649*
15668-50-798.93851101025,950*
15567-50-899.03154141031,377*
15467-51-798.52556181037,267*
15366-51-898.01955242044,183*
15266-52-796.91453303051,306*
15165-52-895.01049375059,979*
15065-53-792.3744427069,544*
14964-53-888.24374811179,705*
14864-54-783.023051161090,276*
14763-54-875.8123522220101,383*
14663-55-767.3116513030113,165*
14562-55-858.0011473750125,014*
14462-56-748.207414380136,511*
14361-56-838.4043448130148,569*
14261-57-729.0022751191159,818*
14160-57-821.412051262170,846*
14060-58-714.811449333180,351*
13959-58-810.001045406189,615*
13859-59-76.40639469197,606*
13758-59-83.904335013203,924*
13658-60-72.302275318209,653*
13557-60-81.301215424212,333*
13457-61-70.701165430211,715*
13356-61-80.400115237212,495*
13256-62-70.20084844209,323*
13155-62-80.10064450206,082*
13055-63-70.10043957200,135*
12954-63-80.00023463192,334*
12854-64-70.00023069183,975*
12753-64-80.00012574173,527*
12653-65-70.00012178163,409*
12552-65-80.00001782151,944*
12452-66-70.00001486139,835*
12351-66-80.0001188128,968*
12251-67-70.0000991116,361*
12150-67-80.000793104,104*
12050-68-70.00069493,311*
11949-68-80.00049682,348*
11849-69-70.00039772,356*
11748-69-80.00039762,400*
11648-70-70.00029853,612*
11547-70-8Out029846,083*
11447-71-7Out019938,777*
11346-71-8Out019932,797*
11246-72-7Out019927,222*
11145-72-8Out019922,409*
11045-73-7Out019918,042*
10944-73-8Out019914,800*
10844-74-7Out0010011,807*
10743-74-8Out001009,509*
10643-75-7Out01007,431*
10542-75-8Out01005,822*
10442-76-7Out01004,543*
10341-76-8Out01003,459*
10241-77-7Out01002,652*
10140-77-8Out01002,010*
10040-78-7Out01001,486*
9939-78-8Out01001,078*
9839-79-7Out0100742*
13-97Out1003,377*
Total:18.5%26111725395,756,677

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:27 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)