Chunichi Dragons Playoff Chances 2011Lost to Swallows 3-4, playoff odds down 3 to 27.5% 15 points 7-9-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Swallows 4 Dragons 3 | -2.5 | | -0.1 | | Carp 4 BayStars 5 | +0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Swallows vs Dragons | -2.3+0.3+3.3 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Carp vs BayStars | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Dragons finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | | | | | | | | | | 189 | -269 | | In | 100 | | | | | | 1,208 | * | 188 | | 84 | - | 38 | - | 5 | In | 80 | 20 | | | | | 5 | * | 187 | | 81 | - | 36 | - | 10 | In | 82 | 18 | | | | | 11 | * | 185 | -186 | | In | 100 | | | | | | 25 | * | 184 | | 81 | - | 39 | - | 7 | In | 97 | 3 | | | | | 30 | * | 183 | | 80 | - | 39 | - | 8 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | 45 | * | 182 | | 81 | - | 41 | - | 5 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | 46 | * | 181 | | 78 | - | 39 | - | 10 | In | 95 | 5 | | | | | 64 | * | 180 | | 79 | - | 41 | - | 7 | In | 96 | 4 | | | | | 108 | * | 179 | | 78 | - | 41 | - | 8 | In | 92 | 7 | 1 | | | | 154 | * | 178 | | 78 | - | 42 | - | 7 | In | 93 | 7 | 1 | | | | 195 | * | 177 | | 77 | - | 42 | - | 8 | In | 90 | 9 | 1 | | | | 291 | * | 176 | | 77 | - | 43 | - | 7 | In | 94 | 5 | 1 | | | | 372 | * | 175 | | 76 | - | 43 | - | 8 | In | 92 | 7 | 1 | | | | 547 | * | 174 | | 75 | - | 43 | - | 9 | In | 91 | 8 | 1 | | | | 698 | * | 173 | | 75 | - | 44 | - | 8 | In | 90 | 9 | 1 | | | | 990 | * | 172 | | 75 | - | 45 | - | 7 | 99.9 | % | 90 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | 1,249 | * | 171 | | 74 | - | 45 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | 91 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 1,752 | * | 170 | | 74 | - | 46 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | | 2,338 | * | 169 | | 73 | - | 46 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | 88 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | 3,034 | * | 168 | | 73 | - | 47 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 87 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | 3,950 | * | 167 | | 72 | - | 47 | - | 8 | 99.7 | | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 5,051 | * | 166 | | 72 | - | 48 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | 6,303 | * | 165 | | 71 | - | 48 | - | 8 | 99.4 | | 80 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | 8,095 | * | 164 | | 71 | - | 49 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | 78 | 20 | 2 | 1 | | | 10,362 | * | 163 | | 70 | - | 49 | - | 8 | 99.5 | | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 12,830 | * | 162 | | 70 | - | 50 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | 69 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | 15,856 | * | 161 | | 69 | - | 50 | - | 8 | 99.5 | | 65 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 19,483 | * | 160 | | 69 | - | 51 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | 59 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 23,853 | * | 159 | | 68 | - | 51 | - | 8 | 99.4 | | 53 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 28,622 | * | 158 | | 68 | - | 52 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | 47 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 34,175 | * | 157 | | 67 | - | 52 | - | 8 | 99.4 | | 41 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 39,900 | * | 156 | | 67 | - | 53 | - | 7 | 99.3 | | 35 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | 47,227 | * | 155 | | 66 | - | 53 | - | 8 | 99.1 | | 28 | 56 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | 55,055 | * | 154 | | 66 | - | 54 | - | 7 | 98.8 | | 22 | 56 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | 64,190 | * | 153 | | 65 | - | 54 | - | 8 | 98.0 | | 17 | 55 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | 73,597 | * | 152 | | 65 | - | 55 | - | 7 | 96.7 | | 13 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 0 | | 83,343 | * | 151 | | 64 | - | 55 | - | 8 | 94.8 | | 9 | 48 | 38 | 5 | 0 | | 94,397 | * | 150 | | 64 | - | 56 | - | 7 | 91.9 | | 6 | 42 | 44 | 8 | 0 | | 105,457 | * | 149 | | 63 | - | 56 | - | 8 | 87.8 | | 4 | 36 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 117,564 | * | 148 | | 63 | - | 57 | - | 7 | 82.3 | | 2 | 29 | 52 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 128,902 | * | 147 | | 62 | - | 57 | - | 8 | 75.3 | | 1 | 22 | 52 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 140,331 | * | 146 | | 61 | - | 57 | - | 9 | 67.0 | | 0 | 16 | 51 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 151,982 | * | 145 | | 61 | - | 58 | - | 8 | 57.8 | | 0 | 10 | 47 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 163,128 | * | 144 | | 61 | - | 59 | - | 7 | 48.3 | | 0 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 172,962 | * | 143 | | 60 | - | 59 | - | 8 | 38.6 | | 0 | 4 | 35 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 183,609 | * | 142 | | 60 | - | 60 | - | 7 | 29.7 | | 0 | 2 | 27 | 51 | 18 | 1 | 191,837 | * | 141 | | 59 | - | 60 | - | 8 | 22.1 | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 52 | 25 | 1 | 198,943 | * | 140 | | 59 | - | 61 | - | 7 | 15.6 | | | 1 | 15 | 50 | 32 | 3 | 204,907 | * | 139 | | 58 | - | 61 | - | 8 | 10.6 | | | 0 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 5 | 207,888 | * | 138 | | 58 | - | 62 | - | 7 | 6.9 | | | 0 | 7 | 41 | 45 | 7 | 209,996 | * | 137 | | 57 | - | 62 | - | 8 | 4.4 | | | 0 | 4 | 35 | 50 | 11 | 211,330 | * | 136 | | 56 | - | 62 | - | 9 | 2.6 | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 54 | 15 | 209,190 | * | 135 | | 56 | - | 63 | - | 8 | 1.5 | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 56 | 20 | 206,564 | * | 134 | | 56 | - | 64 | - | 7 | 0.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 26 | 201,868 | * | 133 | | 55 | - | 64 | - | 8 | 0.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 32 | 196,206 | * | 132 | | 55 | - | 65 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 38 | 188,614 | * | 131 | | 54 | - | 65 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 45 | 179,577 | * | 130 | | 54 | - | 66 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 51 | 170,598 | * | 129 | | 53 | - | 66 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 57 | 159,218 | * | 128 | | 53 | - | 67 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 63 | 147,470 | * | 127 | | 52 | - | 67 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 69 | 135,666 | * | 126 | | 52 | - | 68 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 74 | 124,475 | * | 125 | | 51 | - | 68 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 78 | 112,402 | * | 124 | | 51 | - | 69 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 81 | 100,654 | * | 123 | | 50 | - | 69 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 85 | 90,399 | * | 122 | | 50 | - | 70 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 79,779 | * | 121 | | 49 | - | 70 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 69,631 | * | 120 | | 49 | - | 71 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 60,380 | * | 119 | | 48 | - | 71 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 52,024 | * | 118 | | 48 | - | 72 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 44,100 | * | 117 | | 47 | - | 72 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 37,485 | * | 116 | | 47 | - | 73 | - | 7 | Out | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 31,546 | * | 115 | | 46 | - | 73 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 25,778 | * | 114 | | 46 | - | 74 | - | 7 | Out | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 21,498 | * | 113 | | 45 | - | 74 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 17,341 | * | 112 | | 45 | - | 75 | - | 7 | Out | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 14,071 | * | 111 | | 44 | - | 75 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 11,421 | * | 110 | | 44 | - | 76 | - | 7 | Out | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 9,075 | * | 109 | | 43 | - | 76 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 7,123 | * | 108 | | 43 | - | 77 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 1 | 99 | 5,492 | * | 107 | | 42 | - | 77 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 4,344 | * | 106 | | 42 | - | 78 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 1 | 99 | 3,425 | * | 105 | | 41 | - | 78 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | 1 | 99 | 2,495 | * | 104 | | 41 | - | 79 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,942 | * | 103 | | 40 | - | 79 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,364 | * | 102 | | 40 | - | 80 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1,098 | * | 101 | | 39 | - | 80 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | 0 | 100 | 758 | * | 100 | | 39 | - | 81 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 1 | 99 | 587 | * | 99 | | 38 | - | 81 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | 0 | 100 | 451 | * | 97 | -98 | | Out | | | | | | 100 | 541 | * | 96 | | 36 | - | 82 | - | 9 | Out | | | | | 1 | 99 | 148 | * | 15 | -95 | | Out | | | | | | 100 | 1,592 | * | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 27.5 | % | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 25 | 27 | 5,756,677 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |