Hiroshima Toyo Carp Playoff Chances 2011Lost to BayStars 4-5, playoff odds down 3.7 to 72.1% 22 points 10-7-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Carp 4 BayStars 5 | -3.1 | | -0.1 | | Swallows 4 Dragons 3 | +0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Carp vs BayStars | +2.6-0.5-3.4 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Swallows vs Dragons | +0.3*-0.0-0.4 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Carp finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | | | | | | | | | | 192 | -272 | | In | 100 | | | | | | 1,571 | * | 191 | | 81 | - | 37 | - | 7 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 156 | * | 190 | | 81 | - | 38 | - | 6 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | 239 | * | 189 | | 80 | - | 38 | - | 7 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 344 | * | 188 | | 79 | - | 38 | - | 8 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 438 | * | 187 | | 79 | - | 39 | - | 7 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 644 | * | 186 | | 78 | - | 39 | - | 8 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | 828 | * | 185 | | 78 | - | 40 | - | 7 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | 1,174 | * | 184 | | 77 | - | 40 | - | 8 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 1,529 | * | 183 | | 77 | - | 41 | - | 7 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 2,120 | * | 182 | | 76 | - | 41 | - | 8 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 2,696 | * | 181 | | 76 | - | 42 | - | 7 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 3,433 | * | 180 | | 75 | - | 42 | - | 8 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | 4,642 | * | 179 | | 75 | - | 43 | - | 7 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | 5,942 | * | 178 | | 74 | - | 43 | - | 8 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | 7,768 | * | 177 | | 74 | - | 44 | - | 7 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | 9,582 | * | 176 | | 73 | - | 44 | - | 8 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | 12,249 | * | 175 | | 73 | - | 45 | - | 7 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | 14,971 | * | 174 | | 72 | - | 45 | - | 8 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | 18,696 | * | 173 | | 72 | - | 46 | - | 7 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | 22,557 | * | 172 | | 71 | - | 46 | - | 8 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | 27,572 | * | 171 | | 71 | - | 47 | - | 7 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | 33,359 | * | 170 | | 70 | - | 47 | - | 8 | 100.0 | % | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | 39,364 | * | 169 | | 70 | - | 48 | - | 7 | 100.0 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | 46,495 | * | 168 | | 69 | - | 48 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | 54,781 | * | 167 | | 69 | - | 49 | - | 7 | 100.0 | | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 62,850 | * | 166 | | 68 | - | 49 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 84 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 72,533 | * | 165 | | 68 | - | 50 | - | 7 | 100.0 | | 81 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 83,101 | * | 164 | | 67 | - | 50 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 77 | 22 | 0 | 0 | | | 94,290 | * | 163 | | 67 | - | 51 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 73 | 26 | 1 | 0 | | | 105,192 | * | 162 | | 66 | - | 51 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | 69 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 116,552 | * | 161 | | 66 | - | 52 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 63 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 128,730 | * | 160 | | 65 | - | 52 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | 58 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 140,813 | * | 159 | | 65 | - | 53 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 53 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 152,577 | * | 158 | | 64 | - | 53 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | 47 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 163,573 | * | 157 | | 64 | - | 54 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 40 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 174,307 | * | 156 | | 63 | - | 54 | - | 8 | 99.8 | | 34 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 184,793 | * | 155 | | 63 | - | 55 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | 29 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | 192,227 | * | 154 | | 62 | - | 55 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | 23 | 59 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | 200,138 | * | 153 | | 62 | - | 56 | - | 7 | 98.8 | | 18 | 59 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | 205,423 | * | 152 | | 61 | - | 56 | - | 8 | 97.9 | | 13 | 57 | 28 | 2 | 0 | | 209,918 | * | 151 | | 61 | - | 57 | - | 7 | 96.4 | | 9 | 53 | 34 | 4 | 0 | | 212,002 | * | 150 | | 60 | - | 57 | - | 8 | 94.3 | | 6 | 48 | 40 | 6 | 0 | | 213,449 | * | 149 | | 60 | - | 58 | - | 7 | 91.1 | | 4 | 42 | 46 | 9 | 0 | | 211,120 | * | 148 | | 59 | - | 58 | - | 8 | 86.6 | | 2 | 34 | 50 | 13 | 0 | | 208,480 | * | 147 | | 59 | - | 59 | - | 7 | 80.8 | | 1 | 27 | 52 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 203,892 | * | 146 | | 58 | - | 59 | - | 8 | 73.6 | | 1 | 20 | 52 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 197,718 | * | 145 | | 58 | - | 60 | - | 7 | 65.0 | | 0 | 15 | 50 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 189,111 | * | 144 | | 57 | - | 60 | - | 8 | 55.7 | | 0 | 10 | 46 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 180,453 | * | 143 | | 57 | - | 61 | - | 7 | 46.0 | | 0 | 6 | 40 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 170,524 | * | 142 | | 56 | - | 61 | - | 8 | 36.4 | | 0 | 4 | 33 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 159,249 | * | 141 | | 56 | - | 62 | - | 7 | 28.0 | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 51 | 20 | 1 | 147,479 | * | 140 | | 55 | - | 62 | - | 8 | 20.4 | | | 1 | 19 | 51 | 27 | 2 | 135,771 | * | 139 | | 55 | - | 63 | - | 7 | 14.4 | | | 1 | 14 | 48 | 34 | 4 | 124,603 | * | 138 | | 54 | - | 63 | - | 8 | 9.7 | | | 0 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 6 | 112,404 | * | 137 | | 54 | - | 64 | - | 7 | 6.5 | | | 0 | 6 | 38 | 46 | 9 | 100,261 | * | 136 | | 53 | - | 64 | - | 8 | 4.1 | | | 0 | 4 | 32 | 50 | 13 | 89,138 | * | 135 | | 53 | - | 65 | - | 7 | 2.5 | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 53 | 19 | 79,204 | * | 134 | | 52 | - | 65 | - | 8 | 1.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 54 | 24 | 69,021 | * | 133 | | 52 | - | 66 | - | 7 | 1.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 52 | 31 | 60,192 | * | 132 | | 51 | - | 66 | - | 8 | 0.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 51,337 | * | 131 | | 51 | - | 67 | - | 7 | 0.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 44 | 44,019 | * | 130 | | 50 | - | 67 | - | 8 | 0.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 51 | 36,768 | * | 129 | | 50 | - | 68 | - | 7 | 0.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 57 | 31,072 | * | 128 | | 49 | - | 68 | - | 8 | 0.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 25,870 | * | 127 | | 49 | - | 69 | - | 7 | 0.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 21,027 | * | 126 | | 48 | - | 69 | - | 8 | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 16,920 | * | 125 | | 48 | - | 70 | - | 7 | 0.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 77 | 14,028 | * | 124 | | 47 | - | 70 | - | 8 | 0.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 81 | 11,070 | * | 123 | | 47 | - | 71 | - | 7 | 0.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 85 | 9,043 | * | 122 | | 46 | - | 71 | - | 8 | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 87 | 7,213 | * | 121 | | 46 | - | 72 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 89 | 5,536 | * | 120 | | 45 | - | 72 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 90 | 4,209 | * | 119 | | 45 | - | 73 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 91 | 3,288 | * | 118 | | 44 | - | 73 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 91 | 2,579 | * | 117 | | 43 | - | 73 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 93 | 1,898 | * | 116 | | 43 | - | 74 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 93 | 1,440 | * | 115 | | 42 | - | 74 | - | 9 | Out | | | | 1 | 6 | 93 | 1,070 | * | 114 | | 42 | - | 75 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 1 | 5 | 95 | 812 | * | 113 | | 42 | - | 76 | - | 7 | Out | | | | 1 | 6 | 93 | 577 | * | 112 | | 41 | - | 76 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 1 | 5 | 95 | 390 | * | 111 | | 41 | - | 77 | - | 7 | Out | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | 307 | * | 110 | | 40 | - | 77 | - | 8 | Out | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 219 | * | 109 | | 40 | - | 78 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 3 | 97 | 161 | * | 108 | | 39 | - | 78 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | 4 | 96 | 125 | * | 107 | | 40 | - | 80 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | 3 | 97 | 75 | * | 106 | | 38 | - | 79 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | 100 | 54 | * | 105 | | 39 | - | 81 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | 3 | 97 | 37 | * | 104 | | 38 | - | 81 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | 100 | 30 | * | 103 | | 37 | - | 81 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | 5 | 95 | 19 | * | 22 | -102 | | Out | | | | | | 100 | 1,246 | * | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 72.1 | % | 24 | 28 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 5,756,677 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |