How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffaloes 1 Fighters 0 +1.3
+0.1
Lions 2 Marines 8 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffaloes vs Fighters+1.4-0.1-1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lions vs Marines+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffaloes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456Count
181-263In1001,204*
18079-38-7In901010*
17978-38-8In7114147*
17878-39-7In10011*
17777-39-8In72171118*
17677-40-7In65241217*
17576-40-8In5340840*
17476-41-7In78111145*
17375-41-8In7815665*
17276-43-5In7521468*
17175-43-6In73207118*
17074-43-7In711810154*
16973-43-899.6%761950247*
16873-44-799.1801271342*
16773-45-698.5761482463*
16672-45-798.17616620590*
16571-45-897.77219620834*
16471-46-797.973196201,083*
16370-46-896.967254301,515*
16270-47-798.261334101,835*
16169-47-897.658345202,599*
16068-47-997.451406203,242*
15968-48-897.047427214,292*
15868-49-797.1414710215,656*
15767-49-897.0345013217,204*
15667-50-797.3275218218,890*
15566-50-896.42252223111,258*
15466-51-796.11750283113,993*
15365-51-894.61348345117,390*
15265-52-792.6944407121,227*
15164-52-889.76394510125,709*
15064-53-785.14334914131,135*
14963-53-879.72265119136,945*
14863-54-773.11205225143,943*
14762-54-865.21145032252,072*
14662-55-756.901047394060,232*
14561-55-848.10642466069,456*
14461-56-739.20435519079,331*
14360-56-831.002295514090,075*
14260-57-723.2012258191101,706*
14159-57-817.011657251113,804*
14059-58-711.801255312125,185*
13958-58-88.00851383137,095*
13858-59-75.20546445149,297*
13757-59-83.30340498161,309*
13657-60-72.002345311171,886*
13556-60-81.101285615181,765*
13456-61-70.601235719190,560*
13355-61-80.400185725199,031*
13255-62-70.200145630205,199*
13154-62-80.100105436210,293*
13054-63-70.00085142213,449*
12953-63-80.00064748212,851*
12853-64-70.0044353214,205*
12752-64-80.0033859211,391*
12652-65-70.00023365205,994*
12551-65-80.00012970200,708*
12451-66-70.00012574192,959*
12350-66-80.0012178183,865*
12250-67-70.0001882174,899*
12149-67-80.0001585164,078*
12049-68-70.0001288152,273*
11948-68-80.0001090140,488*
11848-69-70.000892128,100*
11747-69-80.000694115,754*
11647-70-7Out0595103,266*
11546-70-8Out049692,183*
11446-71-70.00039781,500*
11345-71-8Out029871,501*
11245-72-7Out029861,633*
11144-72-8Out019952,794*
11044-73-7Out019944,895*
10943-73-8Out019937,413*
10843-74-7Out019931,521*
10742-74-8Out010026,152*
10642-75-7Out0010021,544*
10541-75-8Out010017,228*
10441-76-7Out010014,204*
10340-76-8Out010010,947*
10240-77-7Out01008,895*
10139-77-8Out01006,946*
10039-78-7Out01005,356*
9938-78-8Out01004,075*
9838-79-7Out01003,118*
9737-79-8Out1002,343*
9637-80-7Out01001,759*
9536-80-8Out01001,355*
9436-81-7Out100943*
9336-82-6Out0100688*
9235-82-7Out0100540*
9135-83-6Out0100387*
15-90Out1002,032*
Total:8.0%1261529485,756,677

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffaloes 1 Fighters 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffaloes vs Fighters-0.2+0.0+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456789101112
181-263100
18079-38-79010
17978-38-8711414
17878-39-7100
17777-39-86761711
17677-40-7652412
17576-40-853408
17476-41-77341111
17375-41-8745156
17276-43-5669214
17175-43-66310207
17074-43-758141810
16973-43-864121950
16873-44-768121271
16773-45-661161482
16672-45-7562016620
16571-45-85221190620
16471-46-74825190620
16370-46-84027241430
16270-47-733283214010
16169-47-827313225020
16068-47-922303736021
15968-48-817313847030
15868-49-7113040610021
15767-49-882640913021
15667-50-7423401218021
15566-50-83193616220310
15466-51-7216312027131
15365-51-81122622322510
15265-52-7081925373710
15164-52-80614253961010
15064-53-70392440914100
14963-53-802521391319100
14863-54-71218341825200
14762-54-81113282231400
14662-55-700102126366000
14561-55-800614274011100
14461-56-70049264217200
14360-56-80025244024400
14260-57-70012203632810
14159-57-80111530381420
14059-58-7001123412140
13958-58-80008164028710
13858-59-70051136351210
13757-59-8003730391930
13657-60-7002423402560
13556-60-8001217383291
13456-61-70011113437142
13355-61-8000172940203
13255-62-7000042341265
13154-62-8000031740328
13054-63-70000112373811
12953-63-800018324216
12853-64-70006274522
12752-64-80004224628
12652-65-700002184634
12551-65-800001134441
12451-66-700001104148
12350-66-8000073855
12250-67-700053461
12149-67-800043067
12049-68-700022672
11948-68-800022277
11848-69-700011881
11747-69-80011584
11647-70-70001287
11546-70-8001090
11446-71-70000892
11345-71-800694
11245-72-700595
11144-72-800496
11044-73-70397
10943-73-80298
10843-74-70298
10742-74-80199
10642-75-70199
10541-75-80199
10441-76-70199
10340-76-80100
10240-77-70100
10139-77-80100
10039-78-70100
9938-78-80100
9838-79-70100
9737-79-80100
9637-80-70100
9536-80-80100
9436-81-7100
9336-82-60100
9235-82-70100
9135-83-60100
89-90100
8833-84-7199
15-87100
Total:0011236811152032