SPHB D2 Playoff Chances 17

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Promoted			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Raiders	65		19	-	3	5		-	2	47	In			81.7	%	+22.3	46	30	24	0	0								1.8	+0.59	2	.710	WacoRaiders
Minhutemen	64		19	-	3	6		-	1	43	In			82.2		-7.8	34	43	23	1	0								1.9	-0.33	1	.701	HoChi Minhutemen

Winter	63		16	-	5	3		-	5	45	In			61.1		-14.5	21	27	51	1	0	0							2.3	-0.28	3	.691	MinnesotaWinter
Chews	56		14	-	5	6		-	4	31	In		+0.0	25.0		+0.0	0	0	1	53	36	11							4.6	-0.03	4	.622	MiamiChews
Phoenix	56		17	-	1	8		-	3	24	In		+0.0	25.0		+0.0	0	0	1	40	45	14							4.7	-0.09	5	.622	HCPhoenix
Cats	52		15	-	2	9		-	3	14	98.9	%	+2.8	24.7		+0.7			0	6	19	75	1						5.7	+0.15	6	.583	SwiftyCats


Shaolin	43		11	-	4	12		-	2	-8	1.1		-2.8	0.3		-0.7						1	99						7.0	-0.03	7	.495	Staten Island Shaolin
Hipsters	31		7	-	1	13		-	8	-27	Out		-0.0	No										91	7	1	0		8.1	+0.01	10	.378	HuntingtonBeach Hipsters
Seals	27		6	-	3	17		-	3	-32	Out			No										3	58	33	6	0	9.4	+0.64	11	.339	SealTeam Six
Rustlers	25		3	-	6	16		-	4	-20	Out			No										5	31	52	10	1	9.7	-0.34	8	.319	RochesterRustlers
Flamingos	21		5	-	1	19		-	4	-67	Out			No										0	3	10	60	27	11.1	-0.09	12	.280	FlamingFlamingos
Tigers	19		1	-	7	19		-	2	-50	Out			No										0	0	3	24	72	11.7	-0.22	9	.260	SouthAmerica Tigers

Tuesday
Minhutemen 1 Shaolin 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			+8.1		+0.2
Minhutemen			-12.6		-0.4
Winter			+4.5		+0.2
Cats	-5.9		-1.5		-0.1
Shaolin	+5.9		+1.5		+0.1

Winter 0 Cats 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			+10.0		+0.2
Minhutemen			+4.0		+0.2
Winter			-14.0		-0.4
Chews					-0.1
Phoenix					-0.1
Cats	+3.0		+0.7		+0.2
Shaolin	-3.0		-0.7

Cats 7 Tigers 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews					-0.0
Phoenix					-0.0
Cats	+2.1		+0.5		+0.1
Shaolin	-2.1		-0.5		-0.0
Hipsters	*Out
Seals					+0.0
Rustlers					+0.0
Flamingos					+0.1
Tigers					-0.1

Phoenix 6 Tigers 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews					-0.1
Phoenix	In				+0.1
Cats					-0.0
Seals					+0.0
Rustlers					+0.0
Flamingos					+0.1
Tigers					-0.1

Chews 5 Hipsters 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews	In				+0.1
Phoenix					-0.1
Cats					-0.0
Hipsters					-0.0
Rustlers					+0.0

Flamingos 1 Raiders 9
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			+5.2		+0.1
Minhutemen			-1.7		-0.1
Winter			-3.4		-0.1
Seals					+0.1
Rustlers					+0.0
Flamingos					-0.1
Tigers					+0.0

Rustlers 1 Seals 6
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Hipsters					+0.0
Seals					+0.5
Rustlers					-0.5
Flamingos					-0.1

Monday
Cats vs SealsIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews					4.64.64.54.5
Phoenix					4.84.74.74.6
Cats	99.899.498.496.2		25.024.924.624.0		5.65.75.85.9
Shaolin	0.20.61.63.8		0.00.10.41.0
Hipsters					8.18.18.18.2
Seals					9.69.49.29.1
Rustlers					9.69.79.89.9
Flamingos					11.111.111.211.2

Rustlers vs ShaolinHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	99.999.899.398.1		25.024.924.824.5
Shaolin	0.10.20.71.9		0.00.10.20.5
Hipsters					8.28.18.18.1
Seals					9.79.59.49.3
Rustlers					9.39.59.79.9
Flamingos					11.211.211.111.1

Minhutemen vs HipstersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			79.082.285.889.6		1.91.81.61.5
Minhutemen			88.981.672.261.6		1.72.02.22.5
Winter			57.161.267.073.6		2.42.32.22.0
Hipsters					8.18.18.08.0

Winter vs RaidersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			61.978.190.797.4		2.41.91.61.3
Minhutemen			78.077.681.887.9
Winter			85.169.352.539.6		1.72.22.62.8

Phoenix vs ChewsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews					5.04.74.44.2
Phoenix					4.34.64.95.1

Flamingos vs TigersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Seals					9.59.49.49.4
Flamingos					10.710.911.211.6
Tigers					12.011.911.711.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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