SPHB D2 Playoff Chances 17 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Promoted			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI

Raiders	65		19	-	3	5		-	2	47	In			81.5	%	+21.1	44	31	24	1	0								1.8	+0.56	2	WacoRaiders
Minhutemen	64		19	-	3	6		-	1	43	In			80.7		-7.6	34	40	23	3	0								1.9	-0.30	1	HoChi Minhutemen

Winter	63		16	-	5	3		-	5	45	In			62.0		-14.0	22	28	47	3	0	0							2.3	-0.31	3	MinnesotaWinter
Chews	56		14	-	5	6		-	4	31	In		+0.0	25.4		+0.3	0	0	3	47	36	14							4.6	-0.02	4	MiamiChews
Phoenix	56		17	-	1	8		-	3	24	In		+0.0	25.4		+0.3	0	0	3	39	42	16							4.7	-0.03	5	HCPhoenix
Cats	52		15	-	2	9		-	3	14	99.2	%	+4.2	24.8		+1.1		0	0	8	22	70	1						5.6	+0.15	6	SwiftyCats


Shaolin	43		11	-	4	12		-	2	-8	0.8		-4.3	0.2		-1.1						1	99						7.0	-0.03	7	Staten Island Shaolin
Hipsters	31		7	-	1	13		-	8	-27	Out		-0.0	No		-0.0								84	12	4	0		8.2	-0.06	10	HuntingtonBeach Hipsters
Seals	27		6	-	3	17		-	3	-32	Out			No										10	62	22	5	0	9.2	+0.75	11	SealTeam Six
Rustlers	25		3	-	6	16		-	4	-20	Out			No										6	22	56	14	3	9.8	-0.19	8	RochesterRustlers
Flamingos	21		5	-	1	19		-	4	-67	Out			No										0	3	11	54	31	11.1	-0.10	12	FlamingFlamingos
Tigers	19		1	-	7	19		-	2	-50	Out			No										0	0	6	27	66	11.6	-0.40	9	SouthAmerica Tigers

Tuesday
Minhutemen 1 Shaolin 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			+4.9		+0.1
Minhutemen			-7.9		-0.3
Winter			+2.8		+0.1
Cats	-3.9		-1.0
Shaolin	+4.0		+1.0

Cats 7 Tigers 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews					-0.1
Phoenix					-0.1
Cats	+3.3		+0.8		+0.2
Shaolin	-3.3		-0.8
Seals					+0.1
Rustlers					+0.1
Flamingos					+0.1
Tigers					-0.3

Winter 0 Cats 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			+6.7		+0.1
Minhutemen			+3.3		+0.1
Winter			-10.0		-0.3
Chews					-0.1
Phoenix					-0.1
Cats	+3.3		+0.8		+0.2
Shaolin	-3.3		-0.8

Phoenix 6 Tigers 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Minhutemen			-0.1
Chews					-0.1
Phoenix	In		+0.1		+0.2
Cats					-0.1
Seals					+0.1
Rustlers					+0.1
Flamingos					+0.1
Tigers					-0.3

Chews 5 Hipsters 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Minhutemen			-0.1
Chews	In		+0.2		+0.2
Phoenix					-0.1
Cats					-0.1
Hipsters					-0.1
Rustlers					+0.1

Flamingos 1 Raiders 9
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			+11.3		+0.3
Minhutemen			-4.2		-0.1
Winter			-7.0		-0.1
Seals					+0.1
Rustlers					+0.1
Flamingos					-0.3
Tigers					+0.1

Rustlers 1 Seals 6
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Seals					+0.5
Rustlers					-0.5
Flamingos					-0.0

Monday
Rustlers vs ShaolinIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	99.999.799.398.2		25.024.9*24.824.5
Shaolin	0.10.30.71.8		0.00.10.20.5
Hipsters					8.38.28.28.2
Seals					9.49.29.29.1
Rustlers					9.59.710.010.2
Flamingos					11.211.211.111.1
Tigers					11.611.611.611.5

Cats vs SealsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Chews					4.74.64.64.5
Phoenix					4.84.74.74.6
Cats	99.999.799.398.2		25.024.9*24.824.5		5.45.65.75.8
Shaolin	0.10.30.71.8		0.00.10.20.5
Hipsters					8.18.28.28.3
Seals					9.59.39.18.9
Rustlers					9.79.89.910.0
Flamingos					11.111.111.211.2

Winter vs RaidersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			64.378.589.796.6		2.31.91.61.4
Minhutemen			77.777.6*80.785.2
Winter			82.568.453.942.3		1.82.22.52.8
Chews			25.325.3*25.425.5
Phoenix			25.325.325.425.5

Minhutemen vs HipstersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders			77.179.682.786.2		2.01.91.81.6
Minhutemen			91.685.878.168.9		1.61.82.12.3
Winter			56.159.163.468.6		2.52.42.32.2
Chews			25.125.3*25.425.7
Phoenix			25.125.2*25.425.6
Hipsters					8.48.28.18.1
Seals					9.19.29.39.3
Rustlers					9.89.89.99.9

Phoenix vs ChewsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Minhutemen			80.681.081.080.6
Chews			25.025.1*25.325.9		5.04.84.44.1
Phoenix			25.925.325.125.0		4.24.54.95.2

Flamingos vs TigersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Flamingos					10.710.911.211.6
Tigers					11.911.811.611.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

SPHB D2 Playoff Chances 17 50/50

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