SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Tetsuya Naito Playoff Chances 2019

Beat Takagi 1-0, playoff odds up 4.8 to 5.3%

8 points 4-0-3

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 8/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Moxley 0 White 1	+1.0		-0.1
Naito 1 Takagi 0	+0.3		+0.9
Goto 1 Cobb 0	+0.1		-0.1
Juice 0 Taichi 1	-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Goto vs Moxley	+8.3+2.1No		-0.2-0.2+0.2
Cobb vs Naito	-5.1-4.4+3.6		-1.5-0.1+0.9
Ishii vs Takagi	-0.1*-0.0+0.2		-0.1-0.1+0.3
Juice vs White	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Yano vs Taichi	+0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.3-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/10	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Naito vs White	+5.6-4.4-5.2		+1.4+0.0-1.4
Juice vs Moxley	+6.8+4.7-3.0
Goto vs Takagi	+0.5-1.4-1.1		-0.1-0.1+0.2
Yano vs Cobb	*+0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.1+0.2+0.1
Ishii vs Taichi	-0.0+0.0+0.1		-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Naito finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

12		2	-	0	-	0	18.3	%	18	76	6								1,646,446,213
11		1	-	1	-	0	1.6		2	42	43	13	1						314,143,605
10		1	-	0	-	1	0.2		0	11	27	33	21	6	0				2,678,945,630
		0	-	2	-	0	0.3		0	9	31	34	19	7					14,825,596
9		0	-	1	-	1	No			0	1	9	36	45	9	0			249,692,415
8		0	-	0	-	2	No					0	3	12	44	37	5	0	1,033,977,101

Total:							5.3	%	5	28	16	16	12	7	8	6	1	0	5,938,030,560

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs