Peterborough Piranha Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Lost to Waikiki 5-6 (ot), playoff odds down 0.0005 to 99.6%
21 points   10 3-1 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bering Strait 13 Zanzibar 7 -0.3
Peterborough 5 Waikiki 6 (ot)+0.2
-6.9
-0.1
Hannigans 4 Bahamas 7 +10.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hannigans vs Peterborough-0.4-0.2-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
-23.2-20.9-0.8+3.7+20.6+23.2
-0.2-0.2-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2
Toronto vs Bering Strait+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Peterborough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy1234Count
3360-00InYes10033,463,415
3250-10In99.5%10007,341,111
3151-00In99.5991189,357,049
40-20In98.7991684,843
3041-10In93.794635,310,047
30-30In88.8891133,762
2942-00In91.6928455,484,953
31-20In87.788122,633,861
20-40In82.48218982
2832-10In72.5732767,961,911
21-30In60.2604098,566
10-50In70.6712917
2733-00In65.46535584,569,861
22-20In57.858423,801,581
11-40In50.651491,759
2623-10In37.9386265,427,955
12-30In23.7247694,692
01-50In13.3138715
2524-00In29.02971422,114,548
13-20In21.922782,441,293
02-40In19.11981828
2414-1098.7%9.71089131,509,538
03-3098.63.1395130,253
2315-0098.35.55932162,646,191
04-2098.22.52962587,570
2205-1083.20.00831706,069,300
2106-0081.6No8218026,773,907
Total:99.6%60.8%6139002,098,439,808
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs