Hannigans Hacks Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Lost to Bahamas 4-7, playoff odds down 1.9 to 97.1%
20 points   9 3-2 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hannigans 4 Bahamas 7 -0.8
-10.1
-0.1
Bering Strait 13 Zanzibar 7 -0.6
Toronto 8 Dildo 3 -0.2
Peterborough 5 Waikiki 6 (ot)+6.9
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hannigans vs Peterborough+2.0+2.0+1.9+1.6+1.6-2.2
+23.2+20.9+0.7-3.6-20.5-23.2
+0.3+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.2-0.3
Toronto vs Bering Strait+1.0+0.9+1.8+1.7-1.0-1.0
+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hannigans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy1234Count
3260-00In100.0%100033,441,341
3150-10In94.69557,338,335
3051-00In93.8946189,317,085
40-20In90.29010685,480
2941-10In71.4712935,303,043
30-30In65.7663433,938
2842-00In69.67030455,509,007
31-20In62.362382,631,582
20-40In57.85842951
2732-10In34.9356567,979,634
21-30In28.8297198,457
10-50In27.3277311
2633-00In33.23367584,645,899
22-20In26.426743,804,833
11-40In20.220801,867
2523-10In8.699165,422,574
12-30In5.869494,711
01-50InNo1007
2424-0098.1%7.88902422,154,552
13-2097.54.759322,441,916
02-4096.42.83944885
2314-1096.90.6196331,499,274
03-3096.3No96430,506
2215-0080.20.3080200162,590,871
04-2075.5No75240586,409
2105-1072.4No722716,066,979
2006-0031.2No31571226,759,661
Total:97.1%39.1%3958302,098,439,808
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs