Newark Bears Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Gary 11-20, playoff odds down 0.8 to 0.8%

8-13 .381

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Newark finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

87		79	-	0	In		100													448
64	-65				In			100												2	*
63		55	-	24	In		27	73												11
62		54	-	25	In		38	63												8
61		53	-	26	86.4	%	36	50	14											22
60		52	-	27	88.6		43	46	11											35
59		51	-	28	91.8		49	42	8											85
58		50	-	29	90.6		58	33	9											224
57		49	-	30	89.6		43	46	9	1										453
56		48	-	31	84.3		29	55	15	1										1,010
55		47	-	32	77.3		19	58	21	1										2,037
54		46	-	33	64.0		9	55	35	1										3,954
53		45	-	34	49.7		4	46	48	2										7,434
52		44	-	35	32.1		1	31	62	6	0									13,420
51		43	-	36	18.6		0	18	70	12	0									23,118
50		42	-	37	9.9		0	10	69	21	0									37,375
49		41	-	38	4.2		0	4	63	32	1									58,332
48		40	-	39	1.3		0	1	51	45	3									85,260
47		39	-	40	0.3			0	36	57	7									119,238
46		38	-	41	0.1			0	24	63	13									157,201
45		37	-	42	0.0			0	14	63	23									198,543
44		36	-	43	0.0			0	7	58	35									237,602
43		35	-	44	0.0			0	3	49	48									270,778
42		34	-	45	Out				1	38	61									291,675
41		33	-	46	Out				0	27	72									297,720
40		32	-	47	Out				0	18	81									290,581
39		31	-	48	Out				0	12	88									267,915
38		30	-	49	Out				0	7	93									234,035
37		29	-	50	Out				0	4	96									193,455
36		28	-	51	Out				0	2	98									152,088
35		27	-	52	Out					1	99									112,453
34		26	-	53	Out					0	100									78,805
33		25	-	54	Out					0	100									52,333
32		24	-	55	Out					0	100									32,351
31		23	-	56	Out					0	100									19,217
30		22	-	57	Out					0	100									10,455
8	-29				Out						100									10,899	*

Total:					0.8	%	0	1	8	29	62									3,260,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

87		79	-	0	100
64	-65						100
63		55	-	24	9	18	73
62		54	-	25	38		50	13
61		53	-	26	14	23	45	5			14
60		52	-	27	9	34	29	17			11
59		51	-	28	1	48	28	14			8
58		50	-	29	3	54	9	24			9
57		49	-	30	0	43	13	34			9	1
56		48	-	31	0	29	8	47			14	2
55		47	-	32		19	3	55			18	4	0	0
54		46	-	33		9	1	54			24	9	2	0
53		45	-	34		4	0	46			24	18	7	1	0	0
52		44	-	35		1	0	31			15	27	19	6	1	0
51		43	-	36		0		18			6	21	30	19	5	1	0
50		42	-	37		0		10			2	10	26	31	16	4	0	0
49		41	-	38		0		4			0	3	13	29	31	15	4	0	0
48		40	-	39		0		1			0	0	4	16	31	30	14	3	0	0
47		39	-	40				0			0	0	1	5	17	32	29	13	3	0	0
46		38	-	41				0				0	0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2	0	0
45		37	-	42				0					0	0	1	7	22	34	25	9	1	0
44		36	-	43				0					0	0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	0
43		35	-	44				0						0	0	0	3	14	33	34	14	1
42		34	-	45											0	0	1	5	22	40	28	4
41		33	-	46												0	0	2	11	35	42	10
40		32	-	47													0	0	4	25	50	20
39		31	-	48													0	0	1	14	51	33
38		30	-	49														0	0	7	46	46
37		29	-	50														0	0	3	37	59
36		28	-	51														0	0	1	28	71
35		27	-	52															0	0	20	80
34		26	-	53																0	14	86
33		25	-	54																0	9	91
32		24	-	55																0	5	95
31		23	-	56																0	3	97
30		22	-	57																	2	98
29		21	-	58																	1	99
28		20	-	59																	1	99
27		19	-	60																	0	100
8	-26																					100

Total:					0	0	0	1			0	0	1	2	3	4	5	8	11	16	25	25