St. Paul Saints Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Sioux Falls 5-14, playoff odds down 12 to 7.2%

10-11 .476

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the St. Paul finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

67	-89				In		100													461	*
66		56	-	23	In		85	15												20
65		55	-	24	In		90	8		1										83
64		54	-	25	In		83	13	1	3										186
63		53	-	26	99.8	%	78	15	1	5	0									424
62		52	-	27	99.9		64	26	2	8	0									973
61		51	-	28	99.9		55	31	2	11	0									2,074
60		50	-	29	99.7		40	37	5	17	0									4,264
59		49	-	30	99.0		25	40	9	26	1	0								7,920
58		48	-	31	97.2		14	35	14	34	3	0	0							14,226
57		47	-	32	92.7		6	27	18	41	7	0	0							24,332
56		46	-	33	83.8		2	17	20	45	15	1	0							39,692
55		45	-	34	69.0		0	9	18	41	26	4	0	0						60,392
54		44	-	35	48.8		0	3	14	31	37	12	1	0	0					88,520
53		43	-	36	27.8		0	1	9	18	40	26	6	0	0					122,146
52		42	-	37	12.1			0	4	7	31	38	16	3	0	0				160,799
51		41	-	38	4.0			0	2	2	16	37	31	10	1	0				201,192
50		40	-	39	1.0			0	1	0	6	24	38	24	6	1	0			239,054
49		39	-	40	0.2			0	0	0	1	10	31	37	18	3	0	0		270,709
48		38	-	41	0.0				0	0	0	3	16	36	32	12	2	0		289,839
47		37	-	42	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	5	23	38	26	7	1	0	294,282
46		36	-	43	0.0				0		0	0	1	10	31	38	18	3	0	284,787
45		35	-	44	Out							0	0	3	18	38	32	9	0	262,773
44		34	-	45	Out								0	1	7	29	42	19	1	229,207
43		33	-	46	Out								0	0	2	17	43	34	3	190,343
42		32	-	47	Out									0	1	8	36	47	8	149,898
41		31	-	48	Out									0	0	3	25	57	15	111,767
40		30	-	49	Out										0	1	15	59	25	79,253
39		29	-	50	Out										0	0	8	55	37	53,169
38		28	-	51	Out											0	4	48	48	33,877
37		27	-	52	Out											0	1	39	60	20,061
36		26	-	53	Out												1	30	70	11,506
35		25	-	54	Out												0	21	79	6,106
34		24	-	55	Out												0	16	84	3,163
33		23	-	56	Out												0	9	91	1,496
32		22	-	57	Out													6	94	695
31		21	-	58	Out													5	95	277
30		20	-	59	Out													2	98	108
29		19	-	60	Out													3	97	32
10	-28				Out														100	466	*

Total:					7.2	%	0	1	2	4	6	8	10	12	13	14	13	12	4	3,260,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

67	-89				100
66		56	-	23	80	5	15
65		55	-	24	84	6	8			1
64		54	-	25	69	15	13	1	1	3
63		53	-	26	57	21	15	0	1	5	0
62		52	-	27	39	25	25	0	2	8	0
61		51	-	28	28	28	30	1	2	11	0
60		50	-	29	16	25	33	4	5	17	0
59		49	-	30	7	18	34	6	9	26	1	0
58		48	-	31	2	11	26	9	14	34	3	0	0
57		47	-	32	1	5	17	11	18	41	7	0	0
56		46	-	33	0	2	8	9	20	45	15	1	0	0
55		45	-	34	0	0	3	6	18	41	26	5	0	0
54		44	-	35		0	1	3	14	31	35	14	2	0	0	0
53		43	-	36		0	0	1	9	18	36	28	8	1	0	0
52		42	-	37			0	0	4	7	25	37	20	5	1	0
51		41	-	38			0	0	2	2	11	31	34	16	4	0	0
50		40	-	39				0	1	0	3	16	33	30	13	3	0	0
49		39	-	40				0	0	0	0	5	20	34	28	11	2	0	0
48		38	-	41					0	0	0	1	7	22	34	25	9	2	0	0
47		37	-	42				0	0	0	0	0	1	8	24	34	23	8	1	0	0
46		36	-	43					0		0	0	0	2	10	27	34	21	6	1	0	0
45		35	-	44									0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0
44		34	-	45										0	0	4	18	34	30	12	1	0
43		33	-	46										0	0	1	7	24	37	25	5	0
42		32	-	47											0	0	2	13	33	37	14	1
41		31	-	48												0	0	5	23	42	26	4
40		30	-	49												0	0	1	12	39	38	10
39		29	-	50													0	0	5	30	46	19
38		28	-	51														0	2	19	47	31
37		27	-	52														0	1	11	44	44
36		26	-	53															0	6	37	57
35		25	-	54															0	3	28	69
34		24	-	55																2	22	77
33		23	-	56																0	13	87
32		22	-	57																0	8	92
31		21	-	58																	6	94
30		20	-	59																	4	96
29		19	-	60																	3	97
10	-28																					100

Total:					0	0	1	0	2	4	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	7	5	2