How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. Paul 5 Sioux Falls 14 -3.4
-0.4
Fargo-Moorhead 2 Winnipeg 5 -0.3
El Paso 3 Grand Prairie 17 -0.3
Kansas City 5 Wichita 6 +0.2
Gary 20 Newark 11 -0.2
Laredo 3 Amarillo 6 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. Paul vs Sioux Falls+1.5-1.7
+0.3-0.3
Fargo-Moorhead vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.2
Gary vs Newark-0.1+0.2
El Paso vs Grand Prairie+0.1-0.1
Laredo vs Amarillo+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Paul finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213Count
67-89In100461*
6656-23In851520
6555-24In908183
6454-25In831313186
6353-2699.8%7815150424
6252-2799.96426280973
6151-2899.9553121102,074
6050-2999.7403751704,264
5949-3099.02540926107,920
5848-3197.21435143430014,226
5747-3292.7627184170024,332
5646-3383.82172045151039,692
5545-3469.00918412640060,392
5444-3548.8031431371210088,520
5343-3627.8019184026600122,146
5242-3712.1047313816300160,799
5141-384.00221637311010201,192
5040-391.00106243824610239,054
4939-400.2000110313718300270,709
4838-410.000031636321220289,839
4737-420.0000005233826710294,282
4636-430.000011031381830284,787
4535-44Out00318383290262,773
4434-45Out0172942191229,207
4333-46Out0021743343190,343
4232-47Out01836478149,898
4131-48Out003255715111,767
4030-49Out0115592579,253
3929-50Out008553753,169
3828-51Out04484833,877
3727-52Out01396020,061
3626-53Out1307011,506
3525-54Out021796,106
3424-55Out016843,163
3323-56Out09911,496
3222-57Out694695
3121-58Out595277
3020-59Out298108
2919-60Out39732
10-28Out100466*
Total:7.2%01246810121314131243,260,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Paul 5 Sioux Falls 14 +0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Paul vs Sioux Falls-0.3+0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718
67-89100
6656-2380515
6555-2484681
6454-25691513113
6353-265721150150
6252-273925250280
6151-2828283012110
6050-2916253345170
5949-3071834692610
5848-312112691434300
5747-321517111841700
5646-330289204515100
5545-340036184126500
5444-35013143135142000
5343-3600191836288100
5242-370047253720510
5141-38002211313416400
5040-39010316333013300
4939-400000520342811200
4838-41000172234259200
4737-4200000182434238100
4636-4300002102734216100
4535-4400313303317400
4434-450041834301210
4333-46001724372550
4232-47002133337141
4131-480052342264
4030-4900112393810
3929-50005304619
3828-5102194731
3727-5201114444
3626-53063757
3525-54032869
3424-5522277
3323-5601387
3222-570892
3121-58694
3020-59496
2919-60397
10-28100
Total:0010245789101010109752