Worcester Tornados Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Rockland 2-12, playoff odds down 4.9 to 3.5%

7-11 .389

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Worcester finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

66	-87				In		100													449	*
65		58	-	22	In		83	17												6
64		57	-	23	In		92	8												12
63		56	-	24	In		68	32												19
62		55	-	25	In		83	18												40
61		54	-	26	In		83	17												129
60		53	-	27	98.6	%	81	17	1											286
59		52	-	28	97.9		73	25	2											681
58		51	-	29	96.4		62	34	4											1,462
57		50	-	30	95.0		49	46	5											2,936
56		49	-	31	90.5		35	55	9	0										5,571
55		48	-	32	83.0		23	60	17	0										10,420
54		47	-	33	71.0		13	58	29	0										18,389
53		46	-	34	55.8		6	50	44	0										30,333
52		45	-	35	40.4		2	38	58	2										47,963
51		44	-	36	26.2		1	26	69	5	0									71,592
50		43	-	37	14.8		0	15	75	10										101,306
49		42	-	38	5.8		0	6	71	23	0									138,078
48		41	-	39	1.6			2	59	39	0									176,818
47		40	-	40	0.5			0	47	51	1									216,330
46		39	-	41	0.1			0	34	62	4									252,836
45		38	-	42	0.0			0	23	69	8									278,601
44		37	-	43	0.0			0	14	71	15									292,766
43		36	-	44	0.0			0	7	69	24									292,081
42		35	-	45	0.0			0	3	62	35									276,676
41		34	-	46	Out				1	52	47									249,947
40		33	-	47	Out				0	41	59									214,037
39		32	-	48	Out				0	30	70									174,474
38		31	-	49	Out				0	21	79									133,718
37		30	-	50	Out				0	14	86									97,672
36		29	-	51	Out				0	9	91									68,227
35		28	-	52	Out				0	5	95									44,465
34		27	-	53	Out					3	97									27,747
33		26	-	54	Out					1	99									16,141
32		25	-	55	Out					1	99									8,921
31		24	-	56	Out					0	100									4,759
30		23	-	57	Out					0	100									2,340
29		22	-	58	Out					0	100									1,108
7	-28				Out						100									1,236	*

Total:					3.5	%	0	3	22	45	30									3,260,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

66	-87				100
65		58	-	22	83		17
64		57	-	23	83	8	8
63		56	-	24	47	21	32
62		55	-	25	58	25	18
61		54	-	26	46	37	16	2
60		53	-	27	37	44	15	2			1
59		52	-	28	25	48	20	5			2
58		51	-	29	13	49	24	10			4
57		50	-	30	5	43	25	21			5
56		49	-	31	2	34	22	34			9	0
55		48	-	32	0	23	13	47			17	0	0
54		47	-	33	0	13	6	52			27	2	0	0
53		46	-	34		6	2	48			37	6	1	0
52		45	-	35		2	0	38			38	17	4	0	0	0
51		44	-	36		1	0	26			29	29	13	3	0	0
50		43	-	37		0	0	15			14	30	28	11	2	0	0	0
49		42	-	38		0		6			2	12	28	31	16	4	0	0
48		41	-	39				2			0	2	10	27	33	20	6	1	0	0
47		40	-	40				0			0	0	3	13	29	32	18	4	0	0
46		39	-	41				0			0	0	0	3	15	31	31	15	3	0	0
45		38	-	42				0				0	0	1	5	18	33	29	12	2	0	0
44		37	-	43				0					0	0	1	7	22	35	26	8	1	0
43		36	-	44				0						0	0	2	10	28	36	20	4	0
42		35	-	45				0						0	0	0	3	16	35	33	12	1
41		34	-	46											0	0	1	6	25	40	24	4
40		33	-	47												0	0	2	14	38	37	10
39		32	-	48													0	0	6	28	46	20
38		31	-	49													0	0	2	17	48	33
37		30	-	50														0	1	9	44	47
36		29	-	51														0	0	4	35	61
35		28	-	52															0	2	26	73
34		27	-	53															0	1	18	82
33		26	-	54																0	11	89
32		25	-	55																0	7	93
31		24	-	56																0	4	96
30		23	-	57																	2	98
29		22	-	58																	1	99
28		21	-	59																	0	100
27		20	-	60																	1	99
7	-26																					100

Total:					0	0	0	3			2	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	13	14	13	9