Blue Scorpions Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

Lost to Chelis Chili Ba 4-6, playoff odds down 1 to 44.1%

140 points 6-6-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chelis Chili Ba 6 Blue Scorpions 4	-13.5		-1.0
rymo 11 Tys Team 0	-0.6
La Creme Suprem 4 Wolf Stansson 6	-0.3
Silk Pylons 9 Randy Marsh 2	+0.2
Horse on a Plan 7 I love weed. 3	+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SakicIsGod vs Blue Scorpions	-14.4*-0.1+14.4		-1.1-0.0+1.1
Tys Team vs Silk Pylons	+0.6+0.7-0.7
La Creme Suprem vs Randy Marsh	+0.3-0.3-0.2
Horse on a Plan vs Wolf Stansson	-0.2*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Blue Scorpions finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

317	6	-	1	-	1	In		38	16	39	7	0	0							155,606
311	8	-	0	-	0	In		96	0	4	0									22,094
299	4	-	2	-	2	99.1	%	0	4	11	38	36	10	1	0					159,562
294	6	-	0	-	2	In		69	7	23	1									10,522
289	7	-	1	-	0	In		69	7	23	1	0								161,709
280	4	-	4	-	0	29.5			0	0	0	5	24	40	25	5	0	0		1,418,847
268	5	-	2	-	1	100.0		2	12	32	40	13	1	0						465,228
267	6	-	2	-	0	In		16	17	46	18	2	0							567,064
	5	-	1	-	2	In		16	17	46	19	2	0							63,812
	5	-	0	-	3	In		42	14	38	7	0								3,032
262	3	-	3	-	2	28.7			0		0	5	24	40	25	6	0	0		213,079
256	4	-	0	-	4	In		16	14	44	23	3								529
255	3	-	5	-	0	0.0							0	1	11	35	38	14	1	1,135,418
253	7	-	0	-	1	In		85	4	11	0									22,200
250	5	-	3	-	0	99.1		0	4	11	39	35	10	1	0					1,134,978
245	4	-	1	-	3	In		2	12	33	40	12	1							14,675
	3	-	0	-	5	In		4	7	29	53	7								55
240	2	-	4	-	2	0.0							0	1	11	34	39	14	1	159,598
239	4	-	3	-	1	77.5			1	0	7	30	40	19	3	0	0			775,757
234	3	-	1	-	4	99.4			4	10	39	35	11	1						2,007
	2	-	0	-	6	In					100									2
229	2	-	5	-	1	Out								0	1	10	37	41	10	466,153
223	3	-	2	-	3	79.2			1	0	8	31	39	18	3	0				29,255
	2	-	1	-	5	80.5			3		9	33	35	17	3					159
214	0	-	6	-	2	Out											0	16	84	10,652
212	3	-	4	-	1	1.8			0		0	0	2	14	36	35	12	1	0	776,730
	2	-	2	-	4	28.1					0	5	23	40	26	5	0			2,854
	1	-	1	-	6	45.5						9	36	27	18	9				11
211	1	-	7	-	0	Out											0	15	84	162,532
201	2	-	3	-	3	1.6						0	2	14	37	35	12	1	0	29,144
	1	-	2	-	5	1.1							1	12	37	35	13	2		179
195	0	-	3	-	5	Out									2	9	36	31	22	55
194	2	-	6	-	0	Out									0	1	15	49	35	566,893
191	1	-	5	-	2	Out									0	1	15	49	35	63,880
190	1	-	3	-	4	Out								1	11	35	41	11	1	2,022
	0	-	2	-	6	Out										50	50			2
180	1	-	6	-	1	Out										0	3	36	61	155,199
179	1	-	4	-	3	Out									1	10	37	42	11	14,465
168	0	-	4	-	4	Out										0	13	45	42	480
158	0	-	7	-	1	Out											0	6	94	22,222
157	0	-	5	-	3	Out										0	3	33	64	2,892
147	0	-	8	-	0	Out												1	99	21,863

Total:						44.1	%	4	3	8	10	10	10	11	10	10	10	9	6	8,813,416

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs