Wolf Stansson Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

Beat La Creme Suprem 6-4, playoff odds down 0.3 to 26.4%

125 points 5-7-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
La Creme Suprem 4 Wolf Stansson 6	+11.0		+0.9
rymo 11 Tys Team 0	-0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Horse on a Plan vs Wolf Stansson	-11.5-1.6+11.7		-1.0-0.0+1.0
Tys Team vs Silk Pylons	+0.5+0.6-0.6
La Creme Suprem vs Randy Marsh	+0.4-0.3-0.4
SakicIsGod vs Blue Scorpions	+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Wolf Stansson finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

317	7	-	0	-	1	In		66	24	10	0									22,313
299	5	-	1	-	2	99.9	%	1	27	24	34	13	2	0						63,114
289	8	-	0	-	0	In		83	14	3	0									22,027
280	5	-	3	-	0	58.9			2	0	2	17	38	31	9	1	0			1,133,101
268	6	-	1	-	1	In		12	40	34	13	1	0							155,562
267	7	-	1	-	0	In		35	40	22	2	0								162,310
	6	-	0	-	2	In		36	41	21	2	0								10,631
262	4	-	2	-	2	59.8			2	0	2	17	38	31	9	1	0			159,923
255	4	-	4	-	0	0.2			0			0	0	4	22	41	27	6	0	1,418,067
250	6	-	2	-	0	99.9		1	26	23	34	14	2	0	0					569,153
245	5	-	0	-	3	In		13	40	34	12	1	0							3,055
240	3	-	3	-	2	0.3			0			0	0	4	22	41	27	6	0	213,169
239	5	-	2	-	1	96.7		0	10	5	26	38	18	3	0	0				465,694
234	4	-	0	-	4	In		1	27	25	35	12	1							552
229	3	-	4	-	1	0.0			0				0	0	3	21	42	28	5	775,795
223	4	-	1	-	3	96.7		0	10	5	26	37	18	3	0					14,518
	3	-	0	-	5	In			15	2	23	46	15							61
214	1	-	5	-	2	Out										0	1	21	78	64,167
	0	-	4	-	4	Out											2	21	77	484
212	4	-	3	-	1	11.1			0		0	1	10	32	38	16	2	0	0	776,152
	3	-	1	-	4	62.2			2	0	3	17	40	29	8	1				1,964
	2	-	0	-	6	In							100							2
211	2	-	6	-	0	Out										0	1	21	78	567,041
201	3	-	2	-	3	10.0			0		0	1	9	32	38	17	3	0		29,472
	2	-	1	-	5	8.0						1	7	25	43	21	3	1		187
195	1	-	2	-	5	Out								1	5	21	36	32	6	151
194	3	-	5	-	0	Out								0	0	3	22	49	26	1,134,609
192	0	-	6	-	2	Out												3	97	10,581
191	2	-	4	-	2	Out								0	0	3	22	49	25	159,108
	0	-	2	-	6	Out											50	50		2
190	2	-	2	-	4	0.2							0	5	23	39	27	6	0	3,068
	1	-	1	-	6	Out									17	33	33	17		6
181	0	-	7	-	1	Out												1	99	22,087
180	2	-	5	-	1	Out									0	0	7	42	51	466,372
	0	-	3	-	5	Out											2	53	45	47
179	2	-	3	-	3	Out								0	3	20	42	30	5	29,191
168	1	-	3	-	4	Out									0	2	22	50	25	1,949
167	0	-	8	-	0	Out													100	22,141
158	1	-	6	-	1	Out											0	10	90	155,116
	0	-	5	-	3	Out											0	8	92	2,912
157	1	-	4	-	3	Out										0	6	40	54	14,626
147	1	-	7	-	0	Out											0	2	98	162,936

Total:						26.4	%	1	4	3	4	6	8	8	9	11	13	15	17	8,813,416

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs