How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Average seed
UAB 74 Troy 51 *+0.1
Buffalo 85 Nazareth 38 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Average seed
Boston vs Northeastern*-0.0+0.3+0.0*-0.0
Montana_State vs James_Madison+0.0*+0.2*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LSU finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-08.5%885811733811748840,000
Total:8.5%885811733811748840,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title