How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Hampton 70 Chowan 69 (ot)+2.8
+0.4
Yale 89 Lehigh 81 (ot)+0.1
Oklahoma 89 Tulane 70 *+0.0
UAB 74 Troy 51 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kentucky finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-08.3%885711833811858840,000
Total:8.3%885711833811858840,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title