El Paso Diablos Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

Lost to Grand Prairie 3-17, playoff odds down 1.2 to 3.3%

4-17 .190

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the El Paso finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

65	-83				In		100													389	*
64		60	-	19	In		86	14												14
63		59	-	20	In		88	13												16
62		58	-	21	In		89	8		3										38
61		57	-	22	In		80	15	2	3										96
60		56	-	23	99.6	%	79	15	1	5	0									252
59		55	-	24	99.4		66	26	2	5	1									507
58		54	-	25	99.8		53	33	5	9	0									1,155
57		53	-	26	99.2		36	44	9	11	1	0								2,450
56		52	-	27	97.2		21	44	17	15	3	0	0							4,745
55		51	-	28	93.4		8	37	27	22	6	1	0							8,887
54		50	-	29	83.2		2	23	34	24	14	3	0	0						15,467
53		49	-	30	64.5		0	10	34	19	24	10	1	0	0					25,738
52		48	-	31	40.7		0	3	28	10	27	23	8	1	0	0				40,605
51		47	-	32	21.3			1	18	3	16	31	23	7	1	0	0			61,197
50		46	-	33	9.3			0	9	0	5	20	33	24	8	1	0	0		87,164
49		45	-	34	3.7			0	4	0	1	6	21	34	25	8	1	0		117,585
48		44	-	35	1.2				1	0	0	1	7	22	34	25	8	1	0	151,599
47		43	-	36	0.3				0		0	0	1	7	24	36	24	7	1	184,051
46		42	-	37	0.0				0			0	0	1	9	28	37	20	4	214,735
45		41	-	38	0.0				0			0	0	0	2	14	35	36	12	236,663
44		40	-	39	0.0				0				0	0	0	5	23	44	27	249,550
43		39	-	40	0.0				0					0	0	1	12	42	45	248,371
42		38	-	41	Out									0	0	0	5	32	63	237,632
41		37	-	42	Out										0	0	2	22	77	213,967
40		36	-	43	Out											0	1	13	86	184,998
39		35	-	44	Out											0	0	7	93	151,513
38		34	-	45	Out												0	4	96	117,471
37		33	-	46	Out												0	2	98	87,287
36		32	-	47	Out												0	1	99	61,369
35		31	-	48	Out													0	100	40,533
34		30	-	49	Out													0	100	25,559
33		29	-	50	Out													0	100	15,501
32		28	-	51	Out													0	100	8,759
31		27	-	52	Out													0	100	4,819
30		26	-	53	Out													0	100	2,418
29		25	-	54	Out													0	100	1,188
4	-28				Out														100	1,284	*

Total:					3.3	%	0	1	2	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	12	19	42	2,805,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

65	-83				100
64		60	-	19	86		14
63		59	-	20	88		13
62		58	-	21	89		8			3
61		57	-	22	75	5	15		2	3
60		56	-	23	69	10	15		1	5	0
59		55	-	24	52	14	26	0	2	5	1
58		54	-	25	38	15	33	1	5	9	0
57		53	-	26	19	17	42	2	9	11	1	0
56		52	-	27	8	12	40	4	17	15	3	0	0
55		51	-	28	2	6	31	6	27	22	6	1	0
54		50	-	29	0	2	16	7	34	24	14	3	0	0	0
53		49	-	30	0	0	5	5	34	19	23	11	2	0	0	0
52		48	-	31		0	1	2	28	10	23	24	10	2	0	0
51		47	-	32			0	0	18	3	10	26	26	12	3	0	0	0
50		46	-	33			0	0	9	0	2	12	26	29	16	5	1	0	0
49		45	-	34				0	4	0	0	2	9	24	31	21	8	1	0	0
48		44	-	35					1	0	0	0	1	7	19	30	26	12	3	0	0
47		43	-	36					0		0	0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	1	0
46		42	-	37					0				0	0	1	4	14	28	31	18	5	0
45		41	-	38					0					0	0	0	3	14	30	33	17	3
44		40	-	39					0						0	0	1	4	17	35	33	11
43		39	-	40					0							0	0	1	7	25	42	26
42		38	-	41												0	0	0	2	13	41	44
41		37	-	42													0	0	0	6	32	62
40		36	-	43														0	0	2	22	76
39		35	-	44														0	0	1	14	86
38		34	-	45														0	0	0	8	92
37		33	-	46																0	4	96
36		32	-	47																0	2	98
35		31	-	48																0	1	99
34		30	-	49																	1	99
33		29	-	50																	0	100
32		28	-	51																	0	100
31		27	-	52																	0	100
30		26	-	53																	0	100
29		25	-	54																	0	100
4	-28																					100

Total:					0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	11	17	34