SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Pittsburgh Maulers Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Lost to Detroit 50-84, playoff odds down 0.04 to 96.9%

8-0-3 .727

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit 84 Pittsburgh 50	-3.1		-0.3
Halifax 74 Milwaukee 85	+0.7		+0.1
Smyrna 87 Philly 79	+0.7		+0.1
New York 63 Denver 92	+0.2
Atlanta 75 Chicago 112			-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Philly	In+2.2-3.1		+0.2-0.0-0.2
New York vs Halifax	+1.6-1.5-1.5		+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Detroit	+1.5+1.3-1.5
Atlanta vs Denver	+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Smyrna vs Dover	+0.1*-0.1-0.1		+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

11		3	-	0	-	0	In		13	87											1,065,733
10	.5	2	-	1	-	0	In		12	88											97,891
10		2	-	0	-	1	In			100											3,189,125	*
9	.5	1	-	1	-	1	In			88	12										195,941
		0	-	3	-	0	In			86	14										28
9		1	-	0	-	2	In			87	13										3,185,650
		0	-	2	-	1	In			86	14										3,078
8	.5	0	-	1	-	2	97.5	%		35	49	14	2	0							98,658
8		0	-	0	-	3	74.6			20	30	25	24	1							1,064,680

Total:							96.9	%	2	83	9	3	3	0							8,900,784

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs