SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Halifax Cobras Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Lost to Milwaukee 74-85, playoff odds down 20.9 to 19.1%

5-1-5 .500

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Halifax 74 Milwaukee 85	-17.5		-0.9
Detroit 84 Pittsburgh 50	-3.9		-0.1
Smyrna 87 Philly 79	+3.9		+0.1
Dover 115 Kansas City 57	-1.6
New York 63 Denver 92	-1.1		-0.0
Atlanta 75 Chicago 112	+1.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New York vs Halifax	-13.2-3.9+13.3		-0.9-0.2+0.9
Chicago vs Detroit	+5.2+4.9-5.4		+0.2+0.1-0.2
Atlanta vs Denver	+3.5-2.7-3.4		+0.1-0.2-0.0
Milwaukee vs Kansas City	-1.9-1.8+2.0		-0.1-0.1+0.1
Smyrna vs Dover	+1.6-1.8-1.5		+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Philly	+0.2-0.3-0.2		+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Halifax finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

8	.5	3	-	0	-	0	88.8	%		10	16	63	11	0							1,064,394
8		2	-	1	-	0	54.6			1	16	38	37	7	1						97,807
7	.5	2	-	0	-	1	21.7					22	47	27	4	0	0				3,190,335
		1	-	2	-	0	20.5					20	44	29	6	0					3,009
7		1	-	1	-	1	1.2					1	14	38	32	13	1				195,962
		0	-	3	-	0	Out						19	32	42	6					31
6	.5	1	-	0	-	2	0.1					0	2	19	44	29	5	0			3,184,576
		0	-	2	-	1	0.0					0	2	15	42	32	8	1			3,014
6		0	-	1	-	2	Out							1	11	36	39	13	0		98,006
5	.5	0	-	0	-	3	Out								1	14	45	36	3		1,063,650

Total:							19.1	%		1	2	16	20	18	18	13	8	4	0		8,900,784

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs