| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| FTEL | |
| 36 | BFC |
| 35 | AFC |
| 34 | RIO |
| 27 | GRI |
| 25 | ARR |
| 24 | TRE |
| 21 | RGA |
| 20 | DKF |
| 15 | TFC |
| 14 | BLU |
| 10 | VFL |
| 8 | NAP |
| 6 | GYO |
| 6 | WAH |
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VFL Osnabruck Title Chances 2013-15Jan 50/50
Lost to AFC 1-3, title odds down 0.003 to 0.000009%
10 points 3-1-10
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Monday | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Champions League | 100.0* | Not Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AFC 3 VFL 1 | No | -0.2 | +2.6 | -0.5 | ||||
| WAH 0 BFC 5 | +0.1 | |||||||
| NAP 0 RIO 7 | +0.1 | |||||||
| DKF 0 BLU 1 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||||||
| RGA 1 TRE 2 | +0.1 | |||||||
| GRI 1 ARR 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| TFC 2 GYO 1 | +0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Champions League | 100.0* | Not Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| VFL vs DKF | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | -2.2+0.8+1.8 | +0.5-0.1-0.5 | |||||
| RIO vs GRI | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| TRE vs TFC | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| ARR vs RGA | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||||||
| BLU vs NAP | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the VFL finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Champions | Chance will finish season at seed | Not | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Promoted | Count | |||||
| 46 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 82.5 | % | 0 | 4 | 26 | 53 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,183 | ||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 50.3 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 12 | 1 | No | 1,247 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 32.4 | 3 | 29 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | % | 2,752 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 19.7 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0.3 | 3,018 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 8.7 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 13,640 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 3.5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6.7 | 19,843 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 1.2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 14.5 | 30,602 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29.5 | 72,558 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 47.9 | 91,687 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 65.8 | 141,047 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 82.3 | 241,977 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 91.2 | 164,665 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 93.2 | 115,607 | * | |||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 97.2 | 390,269 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 99.3 | 409,923 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 99.0 | 129,774 | * | |||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 99.8 | 382,239 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 99.9 | 193,449 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 641,405 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 69,359 | * | |||||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 572,915 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 260,163 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 27 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | Yes | 574,881 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0 | Yes | 239,429 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 31 | 6 | 0 | Yes | 769,200 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 28 | 5 | 0 | Yes | 115,511 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 42 | 14 | 1 | Yes | 572,687 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | Yes | 326,789 | * | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 45 | 21 | 3 | Yes | 572,121 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 3 | Yes | 217,544 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 33 | 7 | Yes | 640,280 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 5 | Yes | 116,022 | * | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 43 | 14 | Yes | 409,260 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 41 | 11 | Yes | 263,772 | * | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 27 | 48 | 21 | Yes | 383,509 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 25 | 48 | 23 | Yes | 141,033 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 34 | Yes | 366,423 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 31 | Yes | 69,815 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 48 | Yes | 204,418 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 45 | Yes | 132,372 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 36 | 59 | Yes | 225,382 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 71 | Yes | 160,091 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | Yes | 106,213 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 57,468 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 93 | Yes | 34,085 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 18,081 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 7,186 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 3,046 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,321 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,130 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 97.2 | % | 10,680,391 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:50 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
