How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Champions League100.0*Not Promoted100.0*Average seed
GRI 1 ARR 0 -1.8
-12.5
+5.3
-0.6
WAH 0 BFC 5 -0.7
-0.7
AFC 3 VFL 1 -0.6
-0.9
-0.2
NAP 0 RIO 7 -0.5
-1.3
-0.1
-0.1
DKF 0 BLU 1 +1.1
-0.6
+0.0
RGA 1 TRE 2 -0.3
+0.1
TFC 2 GYO 1 -0.1
+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Champions League100.0*Not Promoted100.0*Average seed
ARR vs RGA+0.7-0.3-0.6
+11.0-2.6-9.8
-7.8+0.2+7.7
+0.6-0.1-0.6
RIO vs GRI-0.2+0.1+0.1
+1.8+0.8-2.2
-0.5*-0.0+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
BFC vs AFC-0.1+0.2*+0.0
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
TRE vs TFC-1.9+0.7+1.6
+0.1-0.5+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
VFL vs DKF+0.7+0.3-0.8
-1.3-0.5+1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
BLU vs NAP-0.1+0.1*+0.1
+0.8-0.4-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ARR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChampionsChance will finish season at seedNot
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague1234567891011121314PromotedCount
6112-0-097.2%Yes9730No2,110
5911-1-090.2Yes90100No1,179
5811-0-181.0Yes81181No2,743
5710-2-075.1Yes75232No3,040
5610-1-163.7Yes643240No13,663
5510-0-249.6Yes504280No20,068*
549-2-139.1Yes3946141No30,673
539-1-226.3100.0%26482330No72,786*
529-0-316.599.816443260No91,982*
518-2-29.199.5938401210No140,473*
508-1-34.198.3427462220No241,044*
497-3-21.996.2218453140No163,785
8-0-41.495.0115443450No116,167*
487-2-30.690.6193843900No388,792*
477-1-40.180.70427501810No409,634
6-4-20.283.70530491510No129,005*
466-3-30.070.2021851273000.0%382,618
7-0-50.066.5011650294000.0193,741*
456-2-40.053.200944388000.0642,247
5-5-20.057.70111463660No69,135*
446-1-50.036.1003334616200.0573,437
5-4-3No40.304364514100.0259,889*
435-3-4No24.3012347244000.1573,951
6-0-6No21.9012147275000.2239,396*
425-2-5No12.7001242369100.6769,350
4-5-3No15.2001544337000.4116,479*
415-1-6No5.70063143182002.2573,133
4-4-4No7.007344116201.6328,053*
404-3-5No2.6032243275005.1574,009
5-0-7No2.2022043296006.2217,199*
394-2-6No0.801113738121012.7641,410
3-5-4No1.10114403591010.0116,017*
384-1-7No0.20526432330025.6409,939
3-4-5No0.3062943202021.8263,731*
373-3-6No0.00217423270039.2382,093
4-0-8No0.00215413480042.3140,009*
363-2-7No0.00083342151059.3365,526
2-5-5No0.001103640121053.769,598*
353-1-8NoNo0320452850077.3204,994
2-4-6NoNo042345244072.9132,064*
342-3-7NoNo01113937111087.8225,072*
332-2-8NoNo0052844213095.2160,592*
322-1-9NoNo0116423380098.5105,612*
311-3-8NoNo0732421620099.758,133*
301-2-9NoNo02204328600100.033,825*
291-1-10NoNo01935391420100.018,300*
280-3-9NoNo0423432550Yes7,361*
270-2-10NoNo1123934121Yes2,992
260-1-11NoNo052742234Yes1,199
250-0-12NoNo011339379Yes2,143
Total:1.0%29.5%13817221914942000015.2%10,680,391

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship