Las Vegas 51s "Blue Jays" Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Salt Lake 0-8, playoff odds down 5.1 to 5.1%

61-48 .560

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Las Vegas finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

90	-94				In		100								2,447	*
89		28	-	5	96.8	%	96	1	3						1,515
88		27	-	6	92.5		91	2	8						6,412
87		26	-	7	83.4		80	4	17	0					22,369
86		25	-	8	69.9		64	6	30	0					64,635
85		24	-	9	53.3		44	9	47	0					159,400
84		23	-	10	36.9		27	10	63	0					339,928
83		22	-	11	22.6		13	9	77	0					626,456
82		21	-	12	12.3		6	7	88	0					1,006,732
81		20	-	13	5.8		2	4	94	1	0				1,417,328
80		19	-	14	2.4		0	2	96	2	0				1,756,590
79		18	-	15	0.9		0	1	94	5	0				1,919,196
78		17	-	16	0.3		0	0	89	11	0	0			1,854,133
77		16	-	17	0.1		0	0	79	20	1	0			1,582,370
76		15	-	18	0.0		0	0	64	32	4	0			1,194,518
75		14	-	19	0.0			0	46	44	10	0			796,751
74		13	-	20	0.0			0	28	49	22	0	0		468,950
73		12	-	21	Out				14	46	38	2	0		242,514
72		11	-	22	Out				6	35	54	6	0		110,042
71		10	-	23	Out				1	17	67	15	0		43,084
70		9	-	24	Out				0	6	54	39	0		15,061
69		8	-	25	Out					2	41	55	2		4,388
68		7	-	26	Out					1	26	68	5		1,140
67		6	-	27	Out					0	16	72	12		272
66		5	-	28	Out						6	74	21		34
65		4	-	29	Out							40	60		5
61		0	-	33	Out							3	95	2	2,125

Total:					5.1	%	3	2	78	13	3	0	0	0	13,638,395

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

90	-94				100
89		28	-	5	95	1	1		3
88		27	-	6	88	2	2		8
87		26	-	7	74	5	4		17	0
86		25	-	8	54	10	6	0	30	0
85		24	-	9	31	13	9	0	47	0
84		23	-	10	14	13	10	0	63	0
83		22	-	11	4	9	8	1	77	0	0
82		21	-	12	1	5	5	1	86	2	0
81		20	-	13	0	2	2	2	88	7	0	0
80		19	-	14	0	0	1	1	79	17	1	0
79		18	-	15		0	0	1	62	33	5	0	0
78		17	-	16		0	0	0	39	46	14	1	0
77		16	-	17		0	0	0	19	47	29	4	0
76		15	-	18		0	0	0	7	35	43	13	1	0
75		14	-	19				0	2	19	46	28	5	0
74		13	-	20				0	0	7	35	42	15	0	0
73		12	-	21					0	2	19	46	32	1	0
72		11	-	22					0	0	8	37	50	5	0
71		10	-	23						0	1	19	65	15	0
70		9	-	24							0	6	52	40	2
69		8	-	25								2	37	55	6	0
68		7	-	26								0	22	60	16	1
67		6	-	27									10	50	34	6
66		5	-	28									6	32	47	15
65		4	-	29											20	80
61		0	-	33											0	16	66	18	1

Total:					1	2	1	1	48	24	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0