SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team's chances of making the playoffs

Sam Hornish Jr. Race for the Chase

finished 22nd at Michigan, odds of making the chase unchanged at 0%

Chance of making the Chase:	0.0	%	Change:	-

Average finish:	32.17			0.27

Points: 1771 Back: -1658 Starts: 23 Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Chase (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Sam Hornish Jr. finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+		Count

2356	195																				100		1,623
2336	188																				100		1,896
2326	185																				100		5,718
2311	180																				100		18,976
2296	175																				100		34,565
2281	170																				100		85,126
2266	165																				100		144,013
2251	160																				100		252,170
2236	155																				100		381,556
2221	150																				100		581,367
2206	145																				100		844,850
2191	140																				100		1,153,049
2176	135																				100		1,518,834
2161	130																				100		1,936,028
2146	125																				100		2,377,874
2131	120																				100		2,810,661
2116	115																				100		3,189,599
2101	110																				100		3,538,908
2086	105																				100		3,787,389
2071	100																				100		3,916,562
2056	95																				100		3,898,592
2041	90																				100		3,754,585
2026	85																				100		3,476,706
2011	80																				100		3,075,265
1996	75																				100		2,604,747
1981	70																				100		2,121,975
1966	65																				100		1,655,795
1951	60																				100		1,192,580
1936	55																				100		799,006
1921	50																				100		485,730
1906	45																				100		248,873
1891	40																				100		91,840
1876	35																				100		12,542
1771	0																				100		1,000

Total simulation runs:																							50,000,000

Race	Finish	Start	Laps	Lead			Points			Bonus			Penalty			Total			Money

Daytona 500	15	19	200					118									118		319,845
Auto Club 500	43	7	20					34									34		125,539
UAW-Dodge 400	41	20	152					40									40		125,650
Kobalt Tools 500	25	33	323					88									88		117,550
Food City 500	29	7	501					76									76		128,925
Goody's Cool Orange 500	28	26	497					79									79		114,800
Samsung 500	32	17	333					67									67		134,925
Subway Fresh Fit 500	20	31	311					103									103		114,250
Aaron's 499	35	37	180					58									58		125,000
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400	23	35	407					94									94		113,650
Dodge Challenger 500	38	23	270					49									49		115,475
Coca-Cola 600	13	20	400					124									124		147,325
Dover 400	18	16	397					109									109		130,150
Pocono 500	42	41	130					37									37		108,305
Michigan 400	22	35	203		2			97			5						102		121,325
Toyota/Save Mart 350	31	17	112					70									70		116,825
Lenox Industrial Tools 301	39	20	280					46									46		115,425
Daytona 400	29	42	162					76									76		131,100
Chicagoland 400	37	35	264					52									52		125,800
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard	21	38	160					100									100		195,400
Pennsylvania 500	26	26	200					85									85		110,875
Centurion Boats at The Glen	32	34	90					67									67		107,125
3M Performance 400	22	23	199					97									97

					2			1766	+		5	-		0	=		1771		$2,945,264

Average	Start:	26.2
	Finish:	28.7
	Money:	$133,876