Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed9th-12th Playoffs
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPI8/17
New ZealandWHong Kong 121-0102-0-015390.2%+26.840100401002.7+1.39No-4.11at CanadaNew Zealand
EnglandWItaly 56-13102-0-09480.9+15.531191301902.9+1.09No-4.11United StatesEngland
United StatesWSpain 43-0102-0-05578.1+16.52821292202.9+1.21No-5.01at EnglandUnited States
CanadaWWales 15-092-0-011350.6-18.21427133173.7+0.02No-2.81New ZealandCanada
IrelandWJapan 24-1482-0-01250.2+21.100500037124.6+1.38No-23.510FranceIreland
FranceAustralia511-0-05840.9-26.308331028224.8-0.86No-4.611at IrelandFrance
Australiaat France110-0-1-29.1-14.29718400124107.1-0.0525.6%-2.51JapanAustralia
JapanLIreland 14-2400-0-2-68Out-6.81020142520109.5-0.5869.8+2.912at AustraliaJapan
ItalyLEngland 13-5600-0-2-55Out-4.5628151327129.6-0.8066.2+4.41SpainItaly
WalesLCanada 0-1500-0-2-47Out-3.7625171423159.7-0.7469.0+4.91Hong KongWales
SpainLUnited States 0-4300-0-2-94Out-3.8424181126179.8-0.8272.6+7.01at ItalySpain
Hong KongLNew Zealand 0-12100-0-2-219Out-2.603351244610.5-1.2496.8+27.41at WalesHong Kong

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/9
Canada 98 Hong Kong 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canada+24.3
-14.7
+1.8
Wales-1.7
-1.3
Hong Kong-16.9
+22.3
-1.8
Ireland 24 Japan 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-2.9
-0.3
England-2.0
-0.3
United States-2.6
-0.3
Ireland+23.3
-23.4
+2.0
France-3.7
-2.0
-0.2
Australia-0.5
JapanOut
+25.2
-1.6
Italy+0.4
Wales+0.5
Spain+0.4
Canada 15 Wales 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-4.3
-1.3
-0.2
England-2.7
-1.6
United States-3.7
-2.0
Canada+22.9
No
+1.3
France-2.4
-1.4
Japan-2.9
Italy-1.8
-4.2
WalesOut
+22.6
-1.4
Spain-1.4
-3.2
England 56 Italy 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-3.1
-1.5
England+21.4
No
+1.4
United States-5.4
-1.5
-0.2
France-1.7
-1.3
Japan-2.8
ItalyOut
+21.9
-1.4
Wales-1.4
-3.6
Spain-1.3
-3.1
Hong Kong-2.0
New Zealand 121 Hong Kong 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand+21.4
No
+1.3
England-2.8
-1.4
United States-3.8
-1.8
Canada-2.6
-0.9
-0.2
France-2.4
-1.2
Japan-2.8
Italy-2.1
-4.2
Wales-1.3
-3.1
Spain-1.7
-3.2
Hong KongOut
+23.7
-1.4
United States 43 Spain 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-3.1
-1.4
England-4.4
-1.3
-0.2
United States+20.4
No
+1.4
France-1.8
-1.1
Japan-2.7
Italy-1.5
-3.9
Wales-1.6
-3.6
SpainOut
+22.6
-1.4
Hong Kong-2.0
New Zealand 44 Wales 12
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand+20.2
-19.8
+1.9
Wales-19.8
+20.2
-1.9
England 56 Spain 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England+20.2
-19.8
+1.9
Spain-19.8
+20.2
-1.9
United States 24 Italy 12
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
United States+18.4
-21.0
+1.8
Italy-18.2
+21.5
-1.8
Ireland 19 Australia 17
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ireland+17.8
-21.9
+1.8
Australia-17.7
+22.7
-1.8
Italy-0.2
France 72 Japan 14
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ireland-0.2
France+16.3
-22.5
+1.8
Japan-16.2
+23.4
-1.8
France vs AustraliaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
France50.649.330.9
4.24.75.5
AustraliaOutOut18.4
50.649.3No
8.58.25.6
Japan60.260.379.6
9.39.39.8
Italy61.561.971.1
9.59.59.8
Wales64.664.773.6
9.69.69.8
Spain67.467.577.8
9.79.710.0
Week of 8/17
Canada vs New ZealandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand80.1InIn
4.22.31.2
England62.750.699.9
2.93.02.9
United States57.150.699.8
2.93.02.9
CanadaIn98.8Out
2.14.05.3
Ireland vs FranceHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England81.074.981.0
2.93.02.9
United States78.269.478.2
2.93.12.9
IrelandIn67.5Out
3.03.96.2
FranceOut49.281.5
6.34.83.3
AustraliaOutOut18.5
7.27.46.9
England vs United StatesHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Zealand93.450.587.9
2.73.02.7
EnglandInIn61.4
1.42.54.4
United States55.7InIn
4.44.01.4
Canada3.73.33.7
Australia vs JapanHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
France31.550.050.0
5.14.64.5
Australia18.5OutOut
No48.250.6
5.87.78.3
JapanYesYes38.9
10.810.08.3
Italy64.557.668.2
9.59.59.7
Wales68.959.769.5
9.69.69.8
Spain69.960.575.6
9.79.710.0
Hong Kong*96.874.097.3
10.410.210.7
Italy vs SpainHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Japan72.358.467.6
Italy31.7YesYes
8.29.311.0
Wales72.454.666.1
9.79.89.7
SpainYesYes44.5
11.210.38.4
Hong Kong98.162.196.3
10.510.110.5
Wales vs Hong KongHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Japan76.861.962.9
9.59.79.5
Italy75.855.856.9
9.69.89.6
Wales37.499.1Yes
8.39.211.1
Spain84.458.161.1
9.89.99.8
Hong KongYesYes93.5
11.910.39.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.