"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
USA 64 Chile 0 -2.9
Canada 52 Brazil 25 +2.6
Uruguay 21 Argentina 24 -0.4
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Brazil 24 USA 23 +19.5
Argentina 54 Canada 21 No
Chile 20 Uruguay 23 No
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Chile vs Canada-0.3-0.2+0.1
Uruguay vs USA-0.2-0.1+0.1
Brazil vs Argentina-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Canada finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedWooden
TPW-D-Lwins title123456SpoonCount
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship