"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Quins286-0-0172InYes1001.01.950Harlequins
Biarritz153-0-322OutYes+0.010011.0-0.5111.500Biarritz Olympique Pays Basque
Connacht123-0-3-42OutNo10018.011.500Connacht Rugby
Zebre10-0-6-152OutNo10024.022.050Zebre

Teams above the green line enter the H-Cup playoffs.
Teams between the red lines parachute into the knockout stage of the European Challenge Cup (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/rugby/Europe/AmlinCup.html).
Stats are updated approximately once daily, usually around 9AM Eastern.
Let me know if things are wrong: matt dot grande at gmail dot com.

Last Updated: January 22, 2013 - 08:12:13

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/11
Edinburgh 17 Munster 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-3.0
-0.1
Ospreys 15 Tigers 15
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz*+0.4
Toulouse 35 Treviso 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.2
Connacht+0.0
Quins 47 Connacht 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Connacht-0.1
-0.1
Zebre 6 Biarritz 32
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz+8.1
+0.2
ZebreOut
No
Saints 18 Castres 12
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz+19.2
+0.3
Connacht+0.2
Ulster 23 Glasgow 6
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz+0.6
Leinster 33 Scarlets 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.6
-0.0
Week of 1/18
Biarritz 9 Quins 16
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.1
Connacht 25 Zebre 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Connacht+0.0
Chiefs 20 Leinster 29
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.1
Treviso 17 Ospreys 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.1
Tigers 9 Toulouse 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.5
Glasgow 27 Saints 20
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Connacht-0.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.