Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Saracens235-0-1104In+0.0Yes+0.01003.0+1.063.800Saracens
Munster204-0-260In+47.9Yes+0.01007.0+1.449.650Munster Rugby
Racing Métro123-0-3-22Out-0.0No-0.010015.0-2.4611.500Racing Métro 92
Edinburgh00-0-6-142OutNo10023.0-1.0022.050Edinburgh Rugby

Teams above the green line enter the H-Cup playoffs.
Teams between the red lines parachute into the knockout stage of the European Challenge Cup (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/rugby/Europe/AmlinCup.html).
Stats are updated approximately once daily, usually around 9AM Eastern.
Let me know if things are wrong: matt dot grande at gmail dot com.

Last Updated: January 22, 2013 - 08:12:13

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/11
Saints 18 Castres 12
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+12.4
+0.2
Racing Métro+1.3
+0.1
Edinburgh 17 Munster 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+5.8
+0.1
EdinburghOut
-0.0
Ospreys 15 Tigers 15
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster*+0.5
Racing Métro-0.1
-0.1
Toulouse 35 Treviso 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster-0.5
Ulster 23 Glasgow 6
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+0.4
Sharks 6 Montpellier 27
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster-0.1
Racing Métro-0.1
Leinster 33 Scarlets 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Racing Métro-2.2
-0.0
Zebre 6 Biarritz 32
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Racing Métro-4.1
-0.1
Week of 1/18
Tigers 9 Toulouse 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster-50.5
-0.5
Montpellier 23 Toulon 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster-17.7
-0.4
Saracens 40 Edinburgh 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SaracensIn
Yes
+0.1
Munster-0.7
-0.0
Munster 29 Racing Métro 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+0.5
Yes
Racing MétroOut
-0.3
Glasgow 27 Saints 20
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster*-0.1
Biarritz 9 Quins 16
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+0.1
Treviso 17 Ospreys 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Racing Métro+0.5
Blues 26 Sharks 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Edinburgh+0.2
Castres 8 Ulster 9
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Saracens-0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.