How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice Dogs 3 Falcons 0 -0.3
-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blues vs Falcons-0.8+0.5+0.5InInIn
-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Capitals vs Deacons+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Ice Dogs vs Wolverines+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Deacons vs Falcons-0.8+0.5+0.5InInIn
-0.4+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Capitals vs Falcons-0.8+0.4+0.4+0.5+0.5+0.5
-0.4+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Deacons vs Bears-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.4
Wolverines vs Pioneers-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.0+0.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Wolverines vs Ice Dogs-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Ice Dogs vs Wolverines+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Falcons finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910Count
2930-0In9462,564,637
2820-1In86141,725,311
2721-0In613815,949,427
10-2In6535388,586
2611-1In3856602,674,075
00-3In38557029,275
2512-0100.0%95731204,610,556
01-2100.013572920301,534
2402-199.3129541511,037,650
2303-091.44414691,199,560
Total:99.5%4536144120,480,611
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Ice Dogs 3 Falcons 0 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blues vs Falcons+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Ice Dogs vs Wolverines+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Deacons vs Falcons+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Capitals vs Falcons+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Wolverines vs Ice Dogs-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ice Dogs vs Wolverines+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Wolverines vs Pioneers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910
2930-0946
2820-18614
2721-061381
10-26535
2611-1385660
00-3385570
2512-09573120
01-213572920
2402-112954151
2303-0441469
Total:45361441