How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bombers 1 Deacons 2 -9.8
-0.4
Ice Dogs 3 Falcons 0 -1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Bombers vs Bears+1.4+1.4+1.5-0.9-0.9-1.6
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ice Dogs vs Wolverines+1.3-0.3-0.3-0.9-0.9-0.9
Capitals vs Deacons+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.7-0.7
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Blues vs Falcons-0.3-0.3-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice Dogs vs Wolverines+1.3-0.3-0.3-1.0-1.0-0.9
Wolverines vs Ice Dogs-0.9-0.9-0.9-0.3-0.3+1.3
Wolverines vs Pioneers-0.9-0.9-0.9-0.3-0.3+1.3
Deacons vs Falcons-0.8-0.7-0.7+0.2+0.2+0.9
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Deacons vs Bears-0.7-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+0.9
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bombers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910Count
2130-010.4%01048412,565,610
2020-13.10337601,727,672
1921-00.6118815,945,918
10-20.611881387,993
1811-10.109912,676,317
00-30.1099129,148
1712-00.003974,611,984
01-20.00397301,415
1602-1Out1991,038,629
1503-0Out1001,195,925
Total:1.8%02178220,480,611
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Bombers 1 Deacons 2 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Bombers vs Bears-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Capitals vs Deacons-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Deacons vs Falcons+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Deacons vs Bears+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910
2130-00104841
2020-1033760
1921-011881
10-211881
1811-10991
00-30991
1712-00397
01-20397
1602-1199
1503-0100
Total:021782