How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Average seed
Bombers vs Bears-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Capitals vs Deacons-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Average seed
Capitals vs Bears-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Deacons vs Bears-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Capitals vs Falcons-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Wolverines vs Pioneers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910Count
3940-0In83171,281,909
3830-1In55451,150,594
3731-0In37633,967,336
20-2In3367388,502
3621-1In15852,676,451
10-3In109058,249
3522-0In79304,611,258
11-2In5950602,002
00-4In29803,313
3412-1In187122,077,101
01-3In871345,051
3313-0In079212,382,449
02-2In7921233,159
3203-1In4852535,955
3104-0In3565467,282
Total:In2073720,480,611
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs