"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.1*-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1*+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Belarus vs Austria-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Croatia+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Bulgaria vs Hong Kong-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Turkey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
5418-00-0NoYes0871210No10,969
5317-10-0NoYes76232No172
5216-20-0NoYes74223No433*
5117-01-0NoYes633150No1,816*
5016-11-0NoYes543691No3,890*
4915-21-0NoYes424214200No7,587*
4816-02-0NoYes3043225100No20,833*
4715-12-0NoYes19392911200No37,909*
4614-22-0NoYes0103134185100No67,082*
4514-12-1NoYes05213326123100No141,829*
4414-13-0NoYes021126302082000No229,094*
4313-23-0NoYes0416272717720000No361,630*
4213-13-1NoYes0171827251562000No641,008*
4113-14-0NoYes002818262314620000No930,818*
4012-24-0No100.0%0002817242315721000No1,338,648*
3912-14-1No100.000027152323179310000No2,075,150*
3812-15-0No99.60002513202319115200000No2,732,359*
3712-05-1No96.400014101822211473100000No3,592,067*
3611-15-1No83.000012714202217105200000No4,998,473*
3511-16-0No53.1000014101722201483100000No6,034,914*
3411-06-1No20.7000002612192218126210000No7,300,921*
3310-16-1No4.0000013814202117104100000No9,221,234*
3210-17-0No0.300000149162120158310000No10,225,810*
3110-07-1No0.00000025111821191373100000No11,461,463*
309-17-1No0.000000137131921181152100000No13,233,097*
299-18-0NoNo0000013815202116104100000No13,525,844*
289-08-1NoNo00000025101721201483100000No14,049,111*
278-18-1NoNo00000126121921181262100000No14,915,460*
268-19-0NoNo0000013815202116104100000No14,043,102*
258-09-1NoNo00000251118222013621000000.0%13,534,581*
247-19-1NoNo0000013714212217104100000.013,240,921*
237-110-0NoNo00000251119232013520000.011,454,780*
227-010-1NoNo0000013917232215720000.010,227,767*
216-110-1NoNo000012715232418820000.59,221,144*
206-111-0NoNo00002613222619930002.97,302,811*
196-011-1NoNo00001513232720820010.66,031,395*
185-111-1NoNo0000151324282071028.54,999,825*
175-112-0NoNo000015152729175051.93,587,697*
165-012-1NoNo0002719312812272.82,734,299*
154-112-1NoNo000029243524688.52,073,293*
144-012-2NoNo00031433361396.01,334,934*
134-013-1NoNo0001726432398.8931,140*
123-113-1NoNo000316433899.7639,809*
113-013-2NoNo0019385299.9362,303*
103-014-1NoNo0043165100.0229,123*
92-114-1NoNo0011461221100.0141,231*
82-014-2NoNo00755343Yes66,989*
72-015-1NoNo04454380Yes38,266*
62-016-0NoNo073841140Yes20,816*
51-015-2NoNo032647232Yes7,660*
41-016-1NoNo11541376Yes3,724*
31-017-0NoNo094842Yes1,740*
20-016-2NoNo34255Yes385*
10-017-1NoNo22969Yes180
00-018-0NoNo100Yes10,964
Total:No9.7%00000001111111222223333344444444444443332221100005.3%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship