"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Estonia vs Romania+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.6
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.4
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.4
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.3+0.2+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.3
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.3
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5
Belarus vs Austria+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.3
Estonia vs Croatia+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.2
Bulgaria vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Serbia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4515-00-0NoYes622342510300No11,671
4414-10-0NoYes212283218710No1,741
4313-20-0NoYes0518292615510No3,651*
4214-01-0NoYes018202824135100No16,587*
4113-11-0NoYes00310212722124100No31,532*
4012-21-0No100.0%0031020262112510000No56,827*
3913-02-0No100.00003919242214620000No152,574*
3812-12-0No99.80002816232316831000No245,562*
3712-02-1No98.1000261321231811510000No393,529*
3612-03-0No89.10001410172221147310000No805,626*
3511-13-0No63.7000026132022181152000000No1,146,099*
3411-03-1No29.0000139162121159410000No1,649,048*
3310-13-1No6.7000002511182120137310000No2,800,714*
3210-14-0No0.70000126121921181262100000No3,563,814*
3110-04-1No0.00000013714202117105200000No4,639,155*
309-14-1No0.0000001481520211694100000No6,836,537*
299-15-0NoNo0000014101621201583100000No7,857,501*
289-05-1NoNo00000025111821191373100000No9,334,739*
278-15-1NoNo0000013713192118115200000No12,181,915*
268-16-0NoNo00000138152121169410000No12,678,750*
258-06-1NoNo0000002511182220136200000No13,816,566*
247-16-1NoNo000001381521221794100000.0%6,675,384
8-07-0NoNo000001381521221794100000.09,524,097*
237-17-0NoNo00000251119232012510000.08,286,476*
6-26-1NoNo0000002511192320125100000.06,991,237*
227-07-1NoNo0000139172322156200000.09,427,125*
6-16-2NoNo000013917232215620000.05,851,481*
216-17-1NoNo000012715232417820000.46,670,709
7-08-0NoNo000012715232417820000.49,518,410*
206-18-0NoNo000002614232618820002.313,813,223*
196-08-1NoNo0000261424271871008.712,685,028*
185-18-1NoNo0000161526281861024.612,192,156*
175-19-0NoNo000016172928154046.39,336,031*
165-09-1NoNo0000282232259167.77,853,030*
154-19-1NoNo0000311273420485.46,835,530*
144-110-0NoNo00015183532994.34,641,281*
134-010-1NoNo00021030401898.13,562,582*
123-110-1NoNo000420443299.62,796,531*
113-111-0NoNo00112414599.91,647,920*
103-011-1NoNo0063558100.01,147,865*
93-012-0NoNo0021759201100.0807,036*
82-112-0NoNo01955323Yes393,879*
72-012-1NoNo005454280Yes245,945*
62-013-0NoNo0083841130Yes151,922*
51-012-2NoNo022646242Yes57,091*
41-013-1NoNo011542366Yes31,049*
31-014-0NoNo094744Yes16,183*
20-013-2NoNo53957Yes3,676*
10-014-1NoNo22870Yes1,843
00-015-0NoNo0100Yes11,642
Total:No1.4%00000000000000011111122223333444555666665542000016.0%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship