"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
Germany vs France-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Latvia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6020-00-0NoYes0991No10,924
5919-10-0NoYes100No35
5818-20-0NoYes991No91*
5719-01-0NoYes9630No389*
5618-11-0NoYes9630No919*
5517-21-0NoYes9370No1,927*
5418-02-0NoYes090100No5,253*
5317-12-0NoYes0841510No10,660*
5216-22-0NoYes0772120No19,303*
5116-12-1NoYes06928400No41,972*
5016-13-0NoYes05834710No72,185*
4915-23-0NoYes0474012200No121,331*
4815-13-1NoYes03542194000No219,610*
4715-14-0NoYes023412681000No341,399*
4614-24-0NoYes01335331541000No518,396*
4514-14-1NoYes0624342392000No831,442*
4414-15-0NoYes021429301761000No1,178,062*
4313-25-0NoYes1619292514510000No1,637,872*
4213-15-1NoYes002921282312410000No2,367,853*
4113-16-0NoYes00031021262212510000No3,077,949*
4012-26-0No100.0%00131020252113520000No3,951,523*
3912-16-1No100.00001391824221472100000No5,219,398*
3811-26-1No99.80000271522231794100000No6,258,861*
3711-16-2No97.5000015121923191262000000No7,462,989*
3611-17-1No86.100001381521211694100000No9,070,571*
3510-27-1No57.50000025111822201372100000No10,079,704*
3410-17-2No23.60000137132021171152000000No11,188,521*
3310-18-1No4.900001491520211694100000No12,581,820*
329-28-1No0.40000024101721201483100000No12,985,455*
319-18-2No0.00000126121821191373100000No13,435,589*
309-19-1No0.000000137131921181162100000No14,020,681*
298-29-1NoNo0000013814202116105200000No13,437,312*
288-19-2NoNo00000024101621201583100000No12,983,878*
278-110-1NoNo00000126111821191362100000No12,576,105*
267-210-1NoNo000001371420211710510000No11,189,435*
257-110-2NoNo000002510172220147310000No10,075,811*
247-111-1NoNo0000013714202218104100000.0%9,070,750*
236-211-1NoNo000001511182321136200000.07,460,641*
226-111-2NoNo00000139172323157200000.06,264,443*
216-112-1NoNo000012714222418820000.45,218,811*
206-012-2NoNo00002614232619920002.63,949,253*
196-013-1NoNo0000151424271982009.53,074,063*
185-113-1NoNo00000151425281971026.42,370,749*
175-013-2NoNo000016162828164048.21,639,509*
165-014-1NoNo00002821322610169.21,178,668*
154-114-1NoNo000210263522486.7834,136*
144-014-2NoNo00141735331094.8517,991*
134-015-1NoNo0002929411998.3342,523*
123-115-1NoNo000419443499.6219,745*
113-015-2NoNo00111414799.9120,289*
103-016-1NoNo0063460100.072,443*
92-116-1NoNo0011660211100.041,800*
82-016-2NoNo0955333Yes19,614*
72-017-1NoNo004464280Yes10,379*
62-018-0NoNo0073842131Yes5,235*
51-017-2NoNo22845241Yes1,892*
41-018-1NoNo01343376Yes928*
31-019-0NoNo185041Yes360*
20-018-2NoNo33859Yes101*
10-019-1NoNo4159Yes32
00-020-0NoNo100Yes10,920
Total:No22.8%00011112222233333333333333333333333222211110000002.1%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship