"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Germany vs France-6.3-1.7-1.7+2.5+2.5+6.2
-1.6-0.4-0.4+0.6+0.6+1.5
France vs Norway+6.2+2.4+2.5-1.7-1.7-6.3
+1.5+0.6+0.6-0.4-0.4-1.5
Austria vs France-6.3-1.7-1.7+2.4+2.5+6.2
-1.6-0.5-0.5+0.6+0.6+1.5
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the France finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7825-00-0NoYes892No10,905
74-77NoYes100No34*
7322-21-0NoYes298No62*
7222-11-1NoYes298No165*
7122-12-0NoYes298No360*
7021-22-0NoYes199No760*
6921-12-1NoYes199No1,678*
6821-13-0NoYes1990No3,436*
6720-23-0NoYes0990No6,442*
6620-13-1NoYes01000No12,296*
6520-14-0NoYes01000No21,760*
6419-24-0NoYes01000No36,799*
6319-14-1NoYes01000No64,356*
6218-24-1NoYes01000No103,538*
6118-25-0NoYes01000No161,786*
6018-15-1NoYes09910No256,751*
5917-25-1NoYes09910No379,223*
5817-26-0NoYes09820No550,861*
5717-16-1NoYes09730No803,150*
5616-26-1NoYes096400No1,107,239*
5516-16-2NoYes093600No1,497,988*
5416-17-1NoYes09010000No2,025,497*
5315-27-1NoYes08514100No2,615,203*
5215-17-2NoYes07820200No3,312,800*
5115-18-1NoYes070273000No4,183,256*
5014-28-1NoYes059347100No5,062,106*
4914-18-2NoYes04740122000No6,029,921*
4814-19-1NoYes034421940000No7,152,900*
4713-29-1NoYes023412791000No8,135,476*
4613-19-2NoYes01334331641000No9,131,899*
4513-110-1NoYes062333241020000No10,181,855*
4412-210-1NoYes02132830187200000No10,909,953*
4312-110-2NoYes01618282615610000No11,551,687*
4212-111-1NoYes002819272414510000No12,142,193*
4111-211-1No100.0%0039192623136200000No12,246,869*
4011-111-2No100.000039182422146200000No12,253,990*
3911-112-1No100.00000281623231683100000No12,134,019*
3810-212-1No99.600002613202318115100000No11,556,162*
3710-112-2No96.5000014101722211473100000No10,906,113*
3610-113-1No82.1000012713202218115200000No10,177,831*
359-213-1No50.9000001491621211583100000No9,131,896*
349-113-2No19.100000125111821191373100000No8,133,707*
339-114-1No3.70000013713192118115210000No7,153,222*
328-214-1No0.30000013814202116104100000No6,034,187*
318-114-2No0.00000002491620201584100000No5,062,095*
308-115-1No0.000000125111721191473100000No4,188,892*
297-215-1NoNo0000136121821181262100000No3,312,017*
287-115-2NoNo0000013814202117104100000No2,613,213*
277-116-1NoNo000002410162120158310000No2,025,984*
266-216-1NoNo00001261218211912620000No1,497,583*
256-116-2NoNo0000014916212116831000No1,107,221*
246-117-1NoNo000012612192219125100000.0%801,318*
236-017-2NoNo000014917232215720000.0549,733*
225-117-2NoNo000013715232317820000.0380,396*
215-118-1NoNo00002613222519930000.5255,637*
205-018-2NoNo0001512222620103003.0161,670*
194-118-2NoNo0001513232720820010.5103,578*
184-119-1NoNo000151324292071028.264,276*
174-019-2NoNo00015152830164050.337,160*
164-020-1NoNo0002720322810170.821,690*
153-120-1NoNo00210263522487.812,225*
143-020-2NoNo0141735331095.16,216*
133-021-1NoNo001928412198.33,269*
122-121-1NoNo0318453499.51,694*
112-021-2NoNo1104148Yes766*
102-022-1NoNo015326299.7377*
92-023-0NoNo11952252Yes162*
81-022-2NoNo2747387Yes58*
71-023-1NoNo754364Yes28*
61-024-0NoNo6040Yes5
50-023-2NoNo100Yes1
30-025-0NoNo094744Yes10,905
Total:No77.9%012987665544333322222211111111100000000000000000000.0%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship