How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.3
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2*-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.2*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.2*+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Germany vs Belarus-0.2*-0.1*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*+0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Germany vs France-0.1*-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the China finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6923-00-0NoYes199No10,907
65-68NoYes100No173*
6420-21-0NoYes0100No252*
6321-02-0NoYes01000No646*
6220-12-0NoYes0990No1,463*
6119-22-0NoYes0991No2,771*
6019-12-1NoYes0991No6,294*
5919-13-0NoYes0981No11,765*
5818-23-0NoYes09820No21,081*
5718-13-1NoYes09730No40,015*
5618-14-0NoYes095500No67,372*
5517-24-0NoYes092800No111,236*
5417-14-1NoYes0881200No186,194*
5316-24-1NoYes0821710No286,323*
5216-25-0NoYes075232000No428,396*
5116-15-1NoYes06530400No654,973*
5015-25-1NoYes054368100No929,989*
4915-26-0NoYes04241142000No1,287,711*
4815-16-1NoYes03042215100No1,805,954*
4714-26-1NoYes01939291020000No2,377,708*
4614-16-2NoYes01131341851000No3,067,880*
4514-17-1NoYes052133261231000No3,982,267*
4413-27-1NoYes0211263020820000No4,883,723*
4313-17-2NoYes005162727177200000No5,896,998*
4213-18-1NoYes001718262515620000No7,136,699*
4112-28-1No100.0%0028182523156200000No8,173,122*
4012-18-2No100.000028172423157210000No9,257,073*
3912-19-1No100.00000271522231793100000No10,464,843*
3811-29-1No99.6000025132023191152000000No11,232,333*
3711-19-2No96.4000014101722211473100000No11,950,837*
3611-110-1No82.400012613202218115200000No12,665,751*
3510-210-1No51.9000001491621211583100000No12,748,423*
3410-110-2No20.000000261218211912621000000No12,738,896*
3310-111-1No3.9000013714202117105200000No12,662,326*
329-211-1No0.3000001491520201594100000No11,951,084*
319-111-2No0.00000025111721191473100000No11,230,525*
309-112-1No0.00000126121821181262100000No10,474,372*
298-212-1NoNo00000137131921171152000000No9,262,198*
288-112-2NoNo000001491520201594100000No8,169,188*
278-113-1NoNo0000012511172119147310000No7,139,777*
267-213-1NoNo00000013713192118115200000No5,900,961*
257-113-2NoNo00000149162121158310000No4,884,091*
247-114-1NoNo000012612192219125100000.0%3,989,863*
236-214-1NoNo00000149172222157200000.03,070,485*
226-114-2NoNo0000127152223179310000.12,378,070*
216-115-1NoNo0000025122125201131000.71,807,440*
206-015-2NoNo000014112126221131003.91,288,786*
195-115-2NoNo00014112127221030013.2928,671*
185-116-1NoNo0000141122292292033.0655,719*
175-016-2NoNo00014132631206156.4429,310*
164-116-2NoNo00001617313014275.9286,928*
154-117-1NoNo00028233626690.2186,226*
144-017-2NoNo00031333371396.6110,457*
134-018-1NoNo001726432398.968,053*
123-118-1NoNo00215433999.840,203*
113-018-2NoNo0183853100.021,376*
103-019-1NoNo0043164100.011,768*
92-119-1NoNo011461222Yes6,261*
82-019-2NoNo0956324Yes2,904*
72-020-1NoNo3464380Yes1,446*
61-120-1NoNo073641151Yes676*
51-020-2NoNo22548241Yes218*
41-021-1NoNo1738441Yes95*
31-022-0NoNo94545Yes33*
20-021-2NoNo75736Yes14*
0-1NoNo100Yes10,908*
Total:No47.4%02333344444444443333333332222222111111100000000000.6%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship