How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 Friday 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Direct Playoff 100.0* Play Out 100.0* Average seed Vitkovice 7 Litvinov 3 +6.7 +5.8 -6.7 +0.6 Brno 5 Olomouc 0 +0.5 -0.5 Plzen 5 Liberec 1 +0.5 -0.5 Pardubice 2 Trinec 1 -0.3 +0.1 +0.3 Chomutov 1 Zlin 4 -0.2 +0.2 Jihlava 0 Hradec 2 +0.1 -0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway Sunday 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Direct Playoff 100.0* Play Out 100.0* Average seed Liberec vs Vitkovice -6.4-1.9-1.9+2.3+2.3+6.3 -6.5-2.3-2.3+2.0+2.0+6.6 +6.4+1.9+1.9-2.3-2.3-6.3 -0.6-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.6 Litvinov vs Brno -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4 +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 +0.4+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4 Zlin vs Plzen -0.3-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4 -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2 +0.3+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4 Hradec vs Pardubice +0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 -0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3 Trinec vs Mlada Boleslav +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0 Olomouc vs Jihlava -0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1 +0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1 +0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 Sparta vs Chomutov +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0 -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Vitkovice finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Direct Chance will finish regular season at seed Play TP W - OT L - OT playoffs Playoff 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Out Count 118 -135 In Yes 100 No 987,480 * 117 29 - 5 3 - 2 In Yes 100 0 No 569 * 115 -116 In Yes 100 No 3,494 * 114 28 - 5 4 - 2 In Yes 100 0 No 4,453 * 113 28 - 4 4 - 3 In Yes 100 0 No 8,556 * 112 27 - 5 4 - 3 In Yes 100 0 No 15,659 * 111 27 - 5 5 - 2 In Yes 100 0 No 28,353 * 110 27 - 4 5 - 3 In Yes 100 0 No 49,671 * 109 26 - 5 5 - 3 In Yes 99 1 0 No 84,984 * 108 26 - 5 6 - 2 In Yes 99 1 0 No 143,675 * 107 26 - 4 6 - 3 In Yes 99 1 0 No 236,187 * 106 25 - 5 6 - 3 In Yes 98 2 0 No 380,750 * 105 24 - 6 6 - 3 In Yes 98 2 0 No 602,893 * 104 25 - 4 7 - 3 In Yes 97 3 0 No 938,288 * 103 24 - 5 7 - 3 In Yes 95 5 0 0 No 1,426,360 * 102 23 - 6 7 - 3 In Yes 93 7 0 0 No 2,134,227 * 101 23 - 5 7 - 4 In Yes 91 9 0 0 No 3,139,536 * 100 23 - 5 8 - 3 In Yes 88 12 0 0 No 4,525,995 * 99 22 - 6 8 - 3 In Yes 84 16 1 0 0 No 6,421,989 * 98 22 - 5 8 - 4 In Yes 79 20 1 0 0 No 8,960,120 * 97 22 - 5 9 - 3 In Yes 73 25 2 0 0 No 12,274,888 * 96 22 - 4 9 - 4 In Yes 66 30 3 0 0 No 16,559,036 * 95 21 - 5 9 - 4 In Yes 58 36 6 0 0 0 No 21,982,828 * 94 21 - 5 10 - 3 In Yes 50 41 9 1 0 0 No 28,703,719 * 93 21 - 4 10 - 4 In 100.0 % 41 45 13 1 0 0 0 No 36,904,600 * 92 20 - 5 10 - 4 In 100.0 32 47 18 3 0 0 0 No 46,698,725 * 91 19 - 6 10 - 4 In 100.0 24 46 25 5 0 0 0 No 58,195,062 * 90 20 - 4 11 - 4 In 100.0 17 43 31 8 1 0 0 0 No 71,403,138 * 89 19 - 5 11 - 4 In 100.0 10 37 37 14 2 0 0 0 No 86,310,485 * 88 18 - 6 11 - 4 In 100.0 6 29 40 21 4 0 0 0 0 No 102,755,393 * 87 18 - 5 11 - 5 In 99.9 3 20 39 28 9 1 0 0 0 No 120,527,520 * 86 18 - 5 12 - 4 In 99.8 1 12 34 35 15 3 0 0 0 0 No 139,301,360 * 85 18 - 4 12 - 5 In 99.2 0 6 25 38 23 6 1 0 0 0 No 158,612,820 * 84 17 - 5 12 - 5 100.0 % 97.7 0 3 16 35 32 12 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 177,986,743 * 83 17 - 5 13 - 4 100.0 93.9 0 1 8 27 36 21 5 1 0 0 0 0.0 196,836,904 * 82 17 - 4 13 - 5 100.0 86.1 0 0 3 17 35 30 12 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 214,580,848 * 81 16 - 5 13 - 5 100.0 72.7 0 0 1 9 27 36 21 6 1 0 0 0 0.0 230,519,185 * 80 16 - 5 14 - 4 100.0 54.4 0 0 0 3 17 34 31 12 2 0 0 0 0.0 244,144,550 * 79 16 - 4 14 - 5 100.0 34.6 0 0 1 8 26 36 23 6 1 0 0 0 0.0 254,862,578 * 78 15 - 5 14 - 5 99.8 18.2 0 0 0 3 15 33 32 14 3 0 0 0 0.2 262,267,215 * 77 15 - 5 15 - 4 99.1 7.8 0 0 0 1 7 24 36 24 7 1 0 0 0.9 266,061,379 * 76 15 - 4 15 - 5 96.8 2.7 0 0 0 0 2 14 32 33 15 3 0 0 0 3.2 266,029,435 * 75 14 - 5 15 - 5 91.0 0.8 0 0 0 1 6 22 36 26 8 1 0 0 9.0 262,253,250 * 74 14 - 5 16 - 4 80.4 0.2 0 0 0 0 2 13 31 34 16 3 0 0 19.6 254,881,816 * 73 14 - 4 16 - 5 65.1 0.0 0 0 0 1 6 22 36 26 8 1 0 34.9 244,118,246 * 72 13 - 5 16 - 5 47.7 0.0 0 0 0 0 2 13 32 34 15 3 0 52.3 230,534,442 * 71 13 - 5 17 - 4 31.5 0.0 0 0 0 1 7 24 37 25 6 0 68.5 214,542,666 * 70 13 - 4 17 - 5 18.7 0.0 0 0 0 0 3 16 35 33 12 1 81.3 196,859,343 * 69 12 - 5 17 - 5 10.1 0.0 0 0 0 1 9 29 38 20 3 89.9 177,979,958 * 68 12 - 5 18 - 4 4.9 0.0 0 0 0 0 5 21 40 29 6 95.1 158,605,881 * 67 12 - 4 18 - 5 2.2 No 0 0 0 2 14 37 37 11 97.8 139,289,391 * 66 11 - 5 18 - 5 0.9 No 0 0 0 1 8 31 43 17 99.1 120,527,421 * 65 11 - 4 18 - 6 0.4 No 0 0 0 5 25 46 24 99.6 102,748,658 * 64 11 - 4 19 - 5 0.1 No 0 0 0 2 18 46 33 99.9 86,321,049 * 63 11 - 4 20 - 4 0.0 No 0 0 1 13 44 42 100.0 71,408,017 * 62 10 - 4 19 - 6 0.0 No 0 0 1 8 40 51 100.0 58,190,478 * 61 10 - 4 20 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 5 35 59 100.0 46,718,164 * 60 10 - 4 21 - 4 0.0 No 0 0 0 3 30 67 100.0 36,908,482 * 59 10 - 3 21 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 2 24 74 100.0 28,714,883 * 58 9 - 4 21 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 1 19 80 100.0 21,986,881 * 57 9 - 4 22 - 4 0.0 No 0 0 1 15 84 100.0 16,562,740 * 56 9 - 3 22 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 12 88 100.0 12,275,527 * 55 8 - 4 22 - 5 Out No 0 0 9 91 Yes 8,955,040 * 54 8 - 3 22 - 6 Out No 0 0 6 94 Yes 6,427,633 * 53 8 - 3 23 - 5 Out No 0 0 5 95 Yes 4,525,846 * 52 7 - 4 23 - 5 Out No 0 0 3 97 Yes 3,135,721 * 51 7 - 3 23 - 6 Out No 0 2 98 Yes 2,135,083 * 50 7 - 3 24 - 5 Out No 0 2 98 Yes 1,428,710 * 49 7 - 3 25 - 4 Out No 0 1 99 Yes 938,162 * 48 6 - 3 24 - 6 Out No 0 1 99 Yes 604,747 * 47 6 - 3 25 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 381,321 * 46 6 - 3 26 - 4 Out No 0 100 Yes 236,678 * 45 6 - 2 26 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 143,439 * 44 5 - 3 26 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 85,741 * 43 5 - 3 27 - 4 Out No 0 100 Yes 49,604 * 42 5 - 2 27 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 28,618 * 41 4 - 3 27 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 15,910 * 40 4 - 3 28 - 4 Out No 0 100 Yes 8,476 * 39 4 - 2 28 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 4,594 * 18 -38 Out No 100 Yes 991,734 * Total: 69.8 % 34.9 % 3 4 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 6 30.2 % 5,555,136,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs