How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 Friday 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Direct Playoff 100.0* Play Out 100.0* Average seed Brno 5 Olomouc 0 -6.4 -5.4 +6.4 -0.6 Plzen 5 Liberec 1 +0.4 -0.4 Pardubice 2 Trinec 1 -0.3 +0.2 +0.3 Chomutov 1 Zlin 4 -0.2 +0.2 Jihlava 0 Hradec 2 +0.2 -0.2 Vitkovice 7 Litvinov 3 -0.2 If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway Sunday 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Direct Playoff 100.0* Play Out 100.0* Average seed Olomouc vs Jihlava +7.2+2.4+2.4-2.4-2.4-7.2 +5.0+1.4+1.4-1.9-1.9-4.8 -7.2-2.4-2.4+2.4+2.4+7.2 +0.6+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.6 Litvinov vs Brno -0.5-0.1-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5 +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 +0.5+0.1+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5 Zlin vs Plzen -0.4-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4 -0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1 +0.4+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4 Hradec vs Pardubice +0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1 -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3 Liberec vs Vitkovice -0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1 +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 Trinec vs Mlada Boleslav +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0 Sparta vs Chomutov +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1*+0.0 -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Olomouc finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Direct Chance will finish regular season at seed Play TP W - OT L - OT playoffs Playoff 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Out Count 114 -131 In Yes 100 No 987,527 * 113 29 - 5 3 - 2 In Yes 100 0 No 534 * 112 29 - 4 3 - 3 In Yes 100 0 No 1,186 * 111 29 - 4 4 - 2 In Yes 100 0 No 2,355 * 110 28 - 5 4 - 2 In Yes 100 0 No 4,564 * 109 28 - 4 4 - 3 In Yes 100 0 No 8,519 * 108 27 - 5 4 - 3 In Yes 99 1 No 15,802 * 107 27 - 5 5 - 2 In Yes 99 1 0 No 28,539 * 106 27 - 4 5 - 3 In Yes 99 1 0 No 50,073 * 105 26 - 5 5 - 3 In Yes 98 2 0 No 85,680 * 104 26 - 5 6 - 2 In Yes 97 3 0 No 143,581 * 103 26 - 4 6 - 3 In Yes 96 4 0 No 235,937 * 102 25 - 5 6 - 3 In Yes 94 6 0 0 No 380,845 * 101 24 - 6 6 - 3 In Yes 92 8 0 0 No 603,457 * 100 25 - 4 7 - 3 In Yes 89 11 0 0 No 937,000 * 99 24 - 5 7 - 3 In Yes 85 15 1 0 No 1,427,997 * 98 23 - 6 7 - 3 In Yes 80 19 1 0 0 No 2,134,114 * 97 23 - 5 7 - 4 In Yes 75 24 2 0 0 No 3,138,362 * 96 23 - 5 8 - 3 In Yes 68 29 3 0 0 No 4,526,478 * 95 22 - 6 8 - 3 In Yes 60 34 5 0 0 No 6,421,762 * 94 22 - 5 8 - 4 In Yes 52 40 8 0 0 0 No 8,958,199 * 93 22 - 5 9 - 3 In 100.0 % 43 44 12 1 0 0 0 No 12,276,248 * 92 22 - 4 9 - 4 In 100.0 34 46 17 2 0 0 0 No 16,561,001 * 91 21 - 5 9 - 4 In 100.0 25 46 24 4 0 0 0 No 21,982,816 * 90 21 - 5 10 - 3 In 100.0 18 43 30 8 1 0 0 0 No 28,715,734 * 89 21 - 4 10 - 4 In 100.0 11 38 36 13 2 0 0 0 No 36,895,373 * 88 20 - 5 10 - 4 In 100.0 6 30 40 20 4 0 0 0 0 No 46,704,345 * 87 19 - 6 10 - 4 In 99.9 3 21 39 28 8 1 0 0 0 No 58,197,810 * 86 20 - 4 11 - 4 In 99.8 1 13 34 34 14 3 0 0 0 No 71,413,966 * 85 19 - 5 11 - 4 In 99.3 0 7 26 37 23 6 1 0 0 0 No 86,302,304 * 84 18 - 6 11 - 4 100.0 % 97.8 0 3 17 35 31 12 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 102,750,277 * 83 18 - 5 11 - 5 100.0 94.0 0 1 9 27 36 21 5 1 0 0 0 0.0 120,516,960 * 82 18 - 5 12 - 4 100.0 86.1 0 0 3 17 35 30 12 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 139,281,108 * 81 18 - 4 12 - 5 100.0 72.6 0 0 1 9 27 36 21 6 1 0 0 0 0.0 158,611,899 * 80 17 - 5 12 - 5 100.0 54.0 0 0 0 3 17 34 31 13 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 178,002,995 * 79 17 - 5 13 - 4 100.0 34.1 0 0 1 8 25 36 23 6 1 0 0 0 0.0 196,853,179 * 78 17 - 4 13 - 5 99.8 17.6 0 0 0 3 15 33 32 14 3 0 0 0 0.2 214,575,452 * 77 16 - 5 13 - 5 99.0 7.4 0 0 0 1 7 23 36 25 8 1 0 0 1.0 230,527,747 * 76 16 - 5 14 - 4 96.5 2.5 0 0 0 0 2 13 31 34 16 3 0 0 0 3.5 244,174,427 * 75 16 - 4 14 - 5 90.3 0.7 0 0 0 1 6 21 36 27 9 1 0 0 9.7 254,861,121 * 74 15 - 5 14 - 5 79.0 0.2 0 0 0 0 2 12 30 35 17 3 0 0 21.0 262,270,775 * 73 15 - 5 15 - 4 63.2 0.0 0 0 0 0 1 5 21 36 27 9 1 0 36.8 266,038,074 * 72 15 - 4 15 - 5 45.7 0.0 0 0 0 0 2 12 31 35 16 3 0 54.3 266,051,251 * 71 14 - 5 15 - 5 29.6 0.0 0 0 0 1 6 23 37 26 7 0 70.4 262,288,243 * 70 14 - 5 16 - 4 17.3 0.0 0 0 0 0 3 14 34 34 13 1 82.7 254,848,737 * 69 14 - 4 16 - 5 9.1 0.0 0 0 0 1 8 28 39 21 3 90.9 244,133,242 * 68 13 - 5 16 - 5 4.4 0.0 0 0 0 0 4 20 40 30 6 95.6 230,500,654 * 67 13 - 5 17 - 4 1.9 No 0 0 0 2 13 36 38 11 98.1 214,571,035 * 66 13 - 4 17 - 5 0.8 No 0 0 0 1 8 30 44 18 99.2 196,825,518 * 65 12 - 5 17 - 5 0.3 No 0 0 0 0 4 24 47 25 99.7 177,993,768 * 64 12 - 5 18 - 4 0.1 No 0 0 0 2 17 47 34 99.9 158,612,952 * 63 12 - 4 18 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 1 12 44 43 100.0 139,271,853 * 62 11 - 5 18 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 8 40 52 100.0 120,537,151 * 61 11 - 4 18 - 6 0.0 No 0 0 0 5 35 60 100.0 102,757,790 * 60 11 - 4 19 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 3 29 68 100.0 86,300,786 * 59 11 - 4 20 - 4 0.0 No 0 0 0 2 24 74 100.0 71,406,891 * 58 10 - 4 19 - 6 0.0 No 0 0 1 19 80 100.0 58,200,806 * 57 10 - 4 20 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 1 15 84 100.0 46,702,768 * 56 10 - 4 21 - 4 0.0 No 0 0 0 12 88 100.0 36,909,230 * 55 10 - 3 21 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 9 91 100.0 28,702,089 * 54 9 - 4 21 - 5 Out No 0 0 6 93 Yes 21,975,685 * 53 9 - 4 22 - 4 Out No 0 0 5 95 Yes 16,564,062 * 52 9 - 3 22 - 5 Out No 0 0 3 97 Yes 12,279,546 * 51 8 - 4 22 - 5 Out No 0 2 98 Yes 8,947,112 * 50 8 - 3 22 - 6 Out No 0 2 98 Yes 6,426,070 * 49 8 - 3 23 - 5 Out No 0 1 99 Yes 4,532,036 * 48 7 - 4 23 - 5 Out No 0 1 99 Yes 3,136,019 * 47 7 - 3 23 - 6 Out No 0 1 99 Yes 2,137,998 * 46 7 - 3 24 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 1,429,531 * 45 7 - 3 25 - 4 Out No 0 0 100 Yes 937,566 * 44 6 - 3 24 - 6 Out No 0 100 Yes 603,100 * 43 6 - 3 25 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 381,769 * 42 6 - 3 26 - 4 Out No 0 100 Yes 236,305 * 41 6 - 2 26 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 143,662 * 40 5 - 3 26 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 85,692 * 39 5 - 3 27 - 4 Out No 0 100 Yes 49,792 * 38 5 - 2 27 - 5 Out No 0 100 Yes 28,598 * 14 -37 Out No 100 Yes 1,020,571 * Total: 51.7 % 19.5 % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 9 10 11 12 13 13 48.3 % 5,555,136,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs