How do I know? I just selectively look at the simulation results. For example: say your team makes the playoffs in 50% of the sim runs. But, if I just look at the runs where the home team wins that game you team’s chances jump to 60%. So, on average, your odds will go up 10 percentage points if the home team wins.
I flip the sign of the average seed change numbers so negative is bad.
Future games show separate impacts for each outcome (hover over the boxes).