Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100
Chance will win titleChance will finish season at seed
GW-D-LPCTGD%Change12Avg.ChangeRPI11/9
Caruana0-0-0050.0%50501.51CarlsenFabiano Caruana
Carlsen0-0-0050.050501.51at CaruanaMagnus Carlsen

White is the "home team" and I need to work out the tiebreakers still.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday, 11/9
Caruana vs CarlsenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Caruana65.5*50.034.5
1.3*1.51.7
Carlsen34.5*50.065.5
1.7*1.51.3
Saturday, 11/10
Carlsen vs CaruanaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Caruana34.5*50.065.5
1.7*1.51.3
Carlsen65.5*50.034.5
1.3*1.51.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kevin Hartley for adding this league.