"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fargo-Moorhead 2 Winnipeg 5 +3.1
+0.2
Kansas City 5 Wichita 6 +0.1
Gary 20 Newark 11 -0.1
El Paso 3 Grand Prairie 17 -0.1
St. Paul 5 Sioux Falls 14 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fargo-Moorhead vs Winnipeg-2.5+2.6
-0.2+0.2
St. Paul vs Sioux Falls+0.5-0.5
Laredo vs Amarillo+0.2-0.2
Gary vs Newark-0.1+0.2
El Paso vs Grand Prairie+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213Count
75-94In100582*
7460-20In1000223
7359-21In100550
7258-22In10001,350
7157-23In10002,828
7056-24In10005,522
6955-25In99110,416
6854-26In98218,438
6753-27In973031,348
6652-28In9460049,637
6551-29In90100074,744
6450-30In841600106,097
6349-31100.0%7623100142,577
6248-32100.06532210183,392
6147-33100.05341410223,132
6046-34100.04049920256,600
5945-3599.9265316400281,862
5844-3699.4165125810292,499
5743-3798.07433512200290,566
5642-3894.23314417500272,339
5541-3985.6118472012200243,537
5440-4070.609431922710207,586
5339-4150.40334132817400167,718
5238-4229.91236243013200129,194
5137-4314.901321432281010094,849
5036-446.2060521362571066,019
4935-452.20201827372140043,489
4834-460.71002113236163027,192
4733-470.2000317373210116,478
4632-480.000016254023409,234
4531-49Out0021236371205,120
4430-50Out001524442512,620
4329-51Out00212423941,289
4228-52Out1932526602
4127-53Out03246112287
4026-54Out1234927121
3925-55Out310582959
3824-56Out604015
3723-57Out14867
3622-58Out40605
3319-61Out1001
140-80Out100448
Total:83.4%27282186432110003,260,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Fargo-Moorhead 2 Winnipeg 5 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Fargo-Moorhead vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718
75-94100
7460-201000
7359-211000
7258-2210000
7157-239900
7056-249910
6955-259811
6854-269622
6753-2792430
6652-288776000
6551-29791110000
6450-30691515000
6349-315521230100
6248-324125321210
6147-332726392410
6046-341525454920
5945-3572045816400
5844-36313381325810
5743-371727163512200
5642-380315154417500
5541-3901712472012200
5440-4000274319218100
5339-41003341325195100
5238-4201236203017400
5137-43001329273015300
5036-440060314303014300
4935-450200417322913300
4834-461001418322913200
4733-4700162033281120
4632-4800028233424810
4531-490021026352060
4430-50013133434142
4329-5101421382771
4228-523123338131
4127-5352046245
4026-541217313912
3925-55212254417
3824-56334027
3723-572971
3622-584060
3319-61100
140-80100
Total:1611227218543211000000