"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 5 Wichita 6 +2.0
+0.2
Gary 20 Newark 11 -0.2
El Paso 3 Grand Prairie 17 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Wichita-1.8+1.8
-0.1+0.1
Gary vs Newark-0.3+0.5
Lincoln vs Sioux City+0.1-0.1
El Paso vs Grand Prairie+0.1-0.1
Laredo vs Amarillo+0.1-0.1
St. Paul vs Sioux Falls+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Wichita finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213Count
73-95In1004,170*
7256-23In10004,223
7155-24In10008,284
7054-25In1000015,005
6953-26In100026,055
6852-27In991042,392
6751-28In9910065,236
6650-29In9730094,894
6549-30In95500131,397
6448-31In91900171,409
6347-32In841510211,300
6246-33100.0%7622110248,931
6145-34100.06432310277,145
6044-35100.05041720293,453
5943-3699.9354614400294,280
5842-3799.52147247100281,290
5741-3898.211413512200254,873
5640-3994.44294516500219,686
5539-4086.11165019122000180,807
5438-4171.107461721710140,016
5337-4251.10237122817300103,422
5236-4331.5025625301220072,471
5135-4416.2014214342781048,380
5034-457.4070524362150030,804
4933-462.93011030351740018,559
4832-470.9103163432122010,488
4731-480.30016203727815,617
4630-490.00018263821402,960
4529-500.10031534341211,448
4428-51Out0152343253667
4327-52Out11041409263
4226-53Out6215518112
4125-54Out311553162
4024-55Out6415317
3923-56Out33676
3822-57Out50502
160-79Out100448
Total:91.0%44251764211000003,260,572

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City 5 Wichita 6 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Wichita+0.2-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718
74-95100
7357-221000
7256-2310000
7155-2410000
7054-2599100
6953-269810
6852-2797210
6751-28944100
6650-299073000
6549-3083115000
6448-3174169000
6347-32622215010
6246-334827220110
6145-343331301310
6044-352030383720
5943-36102540614400
5842-374173710247100
5741-3811027143512200
5640-390416144516500
5539-40017105019122000
5438-4100254617207100
5337-4200237122519500
5236-4300256203015300
5135-44014210292913300
5034-450703173227112000
4933-46301520322610200
4832-4710172232251020
4731-480028233225920
4630-490029243323710
4529-500021127332050
4428-51003143232171
4327-5214213331101
4226-53252246214
4125-543844378
4024-55127118
3923-563367
3822-57100
160-79100
Total:2815205176321100000000